{"id":87960,"date":"2026-04-17T10:20:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T08:20:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=87960"},"modified":"2026-04-17T10:20:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T08:20:32","slug":"flera-andrade-utdelningsprognoser-ratos-i-topp-billerud-i-botten","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/flera-andrade-utdelningsprognoser-ratos-i-topp-billerud-i-botten\/","title":{"rendered":"Flera \u00e4ndrade utdelningsprognoser – Ratos i topp, Billerud i botten"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Utdelningsestimaten har justerats p\u00e5 flera h\u00e5ll efter en h\u00e4ndelserik marsm\u00e5nad. Det framg\u00e5r av en genomg\u00e5ng som Finwire gjort med data fr\u00e5n Factset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Totalt har 16 bolag f\u00e5tt s\u00e4nkta estimat med mer \u00e4n 1 procent, medan 14 bolag f\u00e5tt h\u00f6jningar \u00f6ver 1 procent. F\u00f6r 15 bolag \u00e4r estimaten of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade. Medianen uppg\u00e5r till 0,0, vilket speglar det stora antalet of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade prognoser. Medelv\u00e4rdet visar en nedg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 0,4 procent p\u00e5 en m\u00e5nad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ratos i topp efter strategisk oml\u00e4ggning<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Bland det 80-tal bolag som ing\u00e5r i sammanst\u00e4llningen st\u00e5r Ratos f\u00f6r den st\u00f6rsta uppjusteringen. Estimatet f\u00f6r utdelningen 2027 har h\u00f6jts med 9 procent till 1,64 kronor per aktie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I mars meddelade Ratos inf\u00f6r sin kapitalmarknadsdag att bolaget planerar att avyttra bland annat storinnehavet Plantasjen inom tv\u00e5 \u00e5r, som en del av en strategioml\u00e4ggning. Flera innehav klassas som icke-k\u00e4rnverksamhet och ska s\u00e4ljas under perioden 2026-2028. Samtidigt st\u00e4ller Ratos om fr\u00e5n bolagskoncern till ett l\u00e5ngsiktigt investmentbolag med fokus p\u00e5 nordiska industri- och infrastrukturbolag. Nya finansiella m\u00e5l inf\u00f6rs, d\u00e4r majoritetsbolagen ska n\u00e5 minst 5 procents tillv\u00e4xt och en ebitda-marginal p\u00e5 10 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e4refter f\u00f6ljer Hexagon, Sandvik och Handelsbanken med uppjusteringar p\u00e5 8, 6 respektive 4 procent till 0,16 euro, 6,99 kronor och 9,52 kronor per aktie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hexagon: aff\u00e4rer och avknoppning i fokus<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Hexagon har under perioden presenterat flera nyheter. Bolaget planerar att dela ut och b\u00f6rsnotera Octave, med f\u00f6rsta handelsdag i Stockholm den 25 maj. Samtidigt har stor\u00e4garen Melker Sch\u00f6rling k\u00f6pt aktier f\u00f6r 295 miljoner kronor i mitten av februari. D\u00e4rtill har Hexagon aviserat f\u00f6rv\u00e4rvet av Waygate Technologies f\u00f6r 13,5 miljarder kronor, vilket beskrivs som en expansion inom aff\u00e4rsomr\u00e5det Manufacturing Intelligence och in i NDT-marknaden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flera analyshus \u00e4r dock f\u00f6rsiktiga efter bolagets kapitalmarknadsdag. De kortsiktiga m\u00e5len f\u00f6r tillv\u00e4xt och marginaler l\u00e5g under f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntan, medan utsikterna p\u00e5 medell\u00e5ng sikt bed\u00f6ms vara i linje med konsensus. Pareto Securities anser att estimaten beh\u00f6ver s\u00e4nkas, s\u00e4rskilt f\u00f6r 2026 d\u00e4r tillv\u00e4xtm\u00e5let ligger omkring 2 procentenheter under konsensus. Prognoserna f\u00f6r 2027-2028 v\u00e4ntas i stort sett st\u00e5 fast, \u00e4ven om marginalm\u00e5let p\u00e5 runt 30 procent ligger under marknadens f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Billerud och Castellum tynger p\u00e5 nedsidan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 den negativa sidan \u00e5terfinns Billerud, d\u00e4r utdelningsestimatet har s\u00e4nkts med drygt 17 procent till 2,62 kronor per aktie. Castellum f\u00f6ljer t\u00e4tt efter med en nedrevidering p\u00e5 n\u00e4ra 17 procent till 1,19 kronor per aktie. D\u00e4refter kommer Boliden, Dometic och Skistar med s\u00e4nkningar p\u00e5 10, 9 respektive 4 procent till 17,77, 1,26 respektive 3,69 kronor per aktie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pareto skriver i en analys att utsikterna f\u00f6r f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningspriser i Billeruds bransch bottnade i februari och har b\u00f6rjat stiga n\u00e5got i mars. Bolaget har historiskt presterat v\u00e4l i perioder n\u00e4r indikatorer f\u00f6r prisf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar pekar upp\u00e5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven EFN bed\u00f6mer att mycket negativt redan \u00e4r inprisat i aktien. 2026 v\u00e4ntas bli lika svagt som 2025, men d\u00e4refter r\u00e4knar analytikerna med f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrade marginaler n\u00e4r l\u00e4gre vedpriser, starkare utveckling i Nordamerika och genomf\u00f6rda investeringar st\u00e4rker kassafl\u00f6det.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Castellum: \u00f6kat \u00e4gande och nytt \u00e5terk\u00f6psprogram<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r Castellum har huvud\u00e4garen Akelius \u00f6kat sitt innehav. Akelius Apartments k\u00f6pte i mars 1 miljon aktier och \u00e4gde per den 27 mars 126 miljoner aktier, motsvarande 25,58 procent av kapitalet och r\u00f6sterna. Senaste \u00f6kningen dessf\u00f6rinnan skedde i juni 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt har Castellum avslutat sitt tidigare \u00e5terk\u00f6psprogram och inlett ett nytt om upp till 1,7 miljarder kronor. Det tidigare programmet, som lanserades i februari, omfattade upp till 3,4 miljarder. Fram till den 24 mars \u00e5terk\u00f6pte bolaget drygt 15 miljoner aktier f\u00f6r cirka 1,7 miljarder, motsvarande ett snittpris p\u00e5 112,02 kronor per aktie. Det nya programmet l\u00f6per fram till \u00e5rsst\u00e4mman 2026 och kan som mest inneb\u00e4ra att Castellum \u00e4ger 10 procent av aktierna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bolaget har ocks\u00e5 f\u00e5tt en ny publik blankare i Merchant Mc med 0,51 procent av kapitalet. D\u00e4rmed finns nu tv\u00e5 publika blankare i Castellum, och den totala blankade andelen uppg\u00e5r till 4,98 procent av kapitalet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I j\u00e4mf\u00f6relsen ing\u00e5r bolag som bevakas av tre eller fler analyshus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bolag<\/strong><\/td>Utd.prognos f\u00f6r r\u00e4kenskaps\u00e5r 2026, nul\u00e4ge<\/strong><\/td>Utd.prognos, 1 m\u00e5nad sedan<\/strong><\/td>F\u00f6r\u00e4ndring<\/strong><\/td>Antal estimat<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Ratos<\/td>1,64<\/td>1,5<\/td>9,20%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Hexagon (euro)<\/td>0,16<\/td>0,15<\/td>7,90%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Sandvik<\/td>6,99<\/td>6,57<\/td>6,40%<\/td>20<\/td><\/tr>
Handelsbanken<\/td>9,52<\/td>9,14<\/td>4,10%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
SSAB<\/td>2,78<\/td>2,68<\/td>3,60%<\/td>17<\/td><\/tr>
Nordnet<\/td>9,46<\/td>9,15<\/td>3,30%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Tele2<\/td>10,55<\/td>10,28<\/td>2,60%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Avanza Bank<\/td>13,49<\/td>13,19<\/td>2,20%<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Swedbank<\/td>24,26<\/td>23,78<\/td>2,00%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Coor<\/td>2,65<\/td>2,6<\/td>1,90%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Skanska<\/td>10,28<\/td>10,09<\/td>1,90%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Lindab<\/td>5,76<\/td>5,67<\/td>1,60%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Tieto (euro)<\/td>1,07<\/td>1,06<\/td>1,10%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Beijer Alma<\/td>4,32<\/td>4,28<\/td>1,00%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Gr\u00e4nges<\/td>3,99<\/td>3,96<\/td>0,90%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Fabege<\/td>2,33<\/td>2,31<\/td>0,80%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Ambea<\/td>2,92<\/td>2,9<\/td>0,70%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Hexpol<\/td>4,04<\/td>4,02<\/td>0,60%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Epiroc<\/td>3,98<\/td>3,96<\/td>0,50%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Alfa Laval<\/td>9,56<\/td>9,52<\/td>0,40%<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Axfood<\/td>9,51<\/td>9,47<\/td>0,40%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Nokia (euro)<\/td>0,15<\/td>0,15<\/td>0,40%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Atlas Copco<\/td>3,2<\/td>3,19<\/td>0,20%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Essity<\/td>9,23<\/td>9,21<\/td>0,20%<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Indutrade<\/td>3,4<\/td>3,39<\/td>0,20%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
AAK<\/td>5,99<\/td>5,98<\/td>0,10%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Ericsson<\/td>3,11<\/td>3,11<\/td>0,10%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Telia Company<\/td>2,16<\/td>2,16<\/td>0,10%<\/td>17<\/td><\/tr>
Wihlborgs<\/td>3,42<\/td>3,42<\/td>0,10%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Addnode<\/td>1,22<\/td>1,22<\/td>0,00%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Alimak<\/td>3,54<\/td>3,54<\/td>0,00%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Attendo<\/td>1,83<\/td>1,83<\/td>0,00%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Betsson (euro)<\/td>0,62<\/td>0,62<\/td>0,00%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Bravida Holding<\/td>4,02<\/td>4,02<\/td>0,00%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Humana<\/td>1,47<\/td>1,47<\/td>0,00%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Inwido<\/td>6,15<\/td>6,15<\/td>0,00%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
JM<\/td>2,58<\/td>2,58<\/td>0,00%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Knowit<\/td>3,28<\/td>3,28<\/td>0,00%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Loomis<\/td>16,29<\/td>16,29<\/td>0,00%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
NCC<\/td>10,5<\/td>10,5<\/td>0,00%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Nolato<\/td>1,86<\/td>1,86<\/td>0,00%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Peab<\/td>4<\/td>4<\/td>0,00%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Scandi Standard<\/td>4,04<\/td>4,04<\/td>0,00%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Sweco<\/td>3,99<\/td>3,99<\/td>0,00%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Autoliv (usd)<\/td>3,46<\/td>3,46<\/td>\u22120,10%<\/td>18<\/td><\/tr>
Beijer Ref<\/td>1,68<\/td>1,68<\/td>\u22120,10%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Husqvarna<\/td>1,35<\/td>1,36<\/td>\u22120,10%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
SEB<\/td>9,48<\/td>9,49<\/td>\u22120,10%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Trelleborg<\/td>8,44<\/td>8,45<\/td>\u22120,10%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Hufvudstaden<\/td>3,02<\/td>3,03<\/td>\u22120,20%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Saab<\/td>3,3<\/td>3,31<\/td>\u22120,20%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
SCA<\/td>3,23<\/td>3,24<\/td>\u22120,20%<\/td>15<\/td><\/tr>
Scandic Hotels Group<\/td>3,11<\/td>3,12<\/td>\u22120,30%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Securitas<\/td>5,82<\/td>5,84<\/td>\u22120,30%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Assa Abloy<\/td>6,78<\/td>6,8<\/td>\u22120,40%<\/td>21<\/td><\/tr>
Getinge<\/td>4,97<\/td>4,99<\/td>\u22120,40%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Alleima<\/td>2,49<\/td>2,51<\/td>\u22120,50%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
AstraZeneca (usd)<\/td>3,34<\/td>3,36<\/td>\u22120,50%<\/td>21<\/td><\/tr>
Traton (euro)<\/td>1,28<\/td>1,29<\/td>\u22120,60%<\/td>20<\/td><\/tr>
Arjo<\/td>0,89<\/td>0,9<\/td>\u22120,80%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
H&amp;M<\/td>7,43<\/td>7,48<\/td>\u22120,80%<\/td>25<\/td><\/tr>
Lifco<\/td>2,89<\/td>2,92<\/td>\u22120,80%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
SKF<\/td>7,69<\/td>7,75<\/td>\u22120,80%<\/td>18<\/td><\/tr>
Thule Group<\/td>9,1<\/td>9,18<\/td>\u22120,90%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Nordea (euro)<\/td>0,97<\/td>0,98<\/td>\u22121,00%<\/td>23<\/td><\/tr>
Volvo<\/td>15,97<\/td>16,17<\/td>\u22121,20%<\/td>21<\/td><\/tr>
Holmen<\/td>10,4<\/td>10,54<\/td>\u22121,30%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Nibe<\/td>0,51<\/td>0,52<\/td>\u22121,30%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Stora Enso (euro)<\/td>0,31<\/td>0,31<\/td>\u22121,30%<\/td>18<\/td><\/tr>
Atrium Ljungberg<\/td>0,73<\/td>0,74<\/td>\u22121,50%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Systemair<\/td>1,52<\/td>1,55<\/td>\u22122,00%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Bilia<\/td>6,32<\/td>6,46<\/td>\u22122,20%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Munters Group<\/td>1,87<\/td>1,92<\/td>\u22122,40%<\/td>9<\/td><\/tr>
Troax (euro)<\/td>0,26<\/td>0,26<\/td>\u22122,50%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Hemnet<\/td>1,94<\/td>2,02<\/td>\u22123,90%<\/td>13<\/td><\/tr>
Skistar<\/td>3,69<\/td>3,86<\/td>\u22124,40%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Dometic Group<\/td>1,26<\/td>1,38<\/td>\u22128,80%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Boliden<\/td>17,77<\/td>19,72<\/td>\u22129,90%<\/td>19<\/td><\/tr>
Castellum<\/td>1,19<\/td>1,43<\/td>\u221216,80%<\/td>15<\/td><\/tr>
Billerud<\/td>2,62<\/td>3,17<\/td>\u221217,40%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>Median<\/td>0,00%<\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>Medel<\/td>\u22120,40%<\/td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Utdelningsestimaten f\u00f6r n\u00e4sta \u00e5r har justerats p\u00e5 flera h\u00e5ll efter en h\u00e4ndelserik mars. Bland det 80-tal bolag som ing\u00e5r i sammanst\u00e4llningen st\u00e5r Ratos f\u00f6r den st\u00f6rsta uppjusteringen, i botten \u00e5terfinns Billerud.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40081,"featured_media":79941,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87960","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x430_graf-150x54.jpg","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x430_graf-150x54.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x430_graf-620x222.jpg 620w, 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