{"id":87599,"date":"2026-03-13T15:50:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T14:50:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=87599"},"modified":"2026-03-15T22:27:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T21:27:25","slug":"besluten-som-kan-forstora-avkastningen-over-tid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/besluten-som-kan-forstora-avkastningen-over-tid\/","title":{"rendered":"Besluten som kan f\u00f6rst\u00f6ra avkastningen \u00f6ver tid"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

H\u00e4r \u00e4r det full fart p\u00e5 nya jobbet och det forts\u00e4tter att h\u00e4nda massor p\u00e5 de finansiella marknaderna. Oljepriset \u00e5ker fortsatt jojo i takt med nyhetsfl\u00f6det, likas\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen. Det \u00e4r en tydlig negativ korrelation vi upplever just nu d\u00e4r ett stigande oljepris f\u00f6ljs av fallande b\u00f6rs och vice versa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stora r\u00f6relser i oljepriset<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I skrivande stund (fredag) har oljepriset letat sig upp \u00f6ver 100 dollar fatet igen, betydligt h\u00f6gre \u00e4n f\u00f6r ett par veckor sedan och marknaden forts\u00e4tter att med r\u00e4tta oroa sig \u00f6ver hur de best\u00e5ende effekterna kan t\u00e4nkas bli f\u00f6r inflation, r\u00e4ntor och konjunktur (l\u00e4s mitt senaste inl\u00e4gg f\u00f6r mer tankar kring ekonomiska risker i sp\u00e5ren av konflikten i Mellan\u00f6stern)<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nedan illustreras hur oljepriset r\u00f6rt sig under de senaste tv\u00e5 veckorna. Upp som mest 50 % f\u00f6r att sedan falla tillbaka n\u00e4stan 30 % f\u00f6r att sedan \u00e5terigen stiga 20 %. Inga sm\u00e5 r\u00f6relser precis och hur r\u00f6relserna blir generellt p\u00e5 de finansiella marknaderna efter helgen, ja det k\u00e4nns ovanligt sv\u00e5rgissat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Missa inte uppg\u00e5ngsdagarna<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Men det som d\u00e4remot inte kan r\u00f6ra sig n\u00e5gonting fram till m\u00e5ndag, det \u00e4r historisk data. Att grotta ner sig i historisk r\u00e5data kan l\u00e5ta halvkul (h\u00f6rde jag n\u00e5gon s\u00e4ga “ICK!”?) men ibland kan vi hitta en del intressant fakta som vi kan l\u00e4ra oss och f\u00f6rhoppningsvis bli lite klokare av.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven om de stora r\u00f6relserna p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen och den h\u00f6ga os\u00e4kerheten kan f\u00e5 oss att vilja s\u00e4lja v\u00e5ra aktier \u00e4r det viktigt att veta om att det historiskt visat sig vara f\u00f6r\u00f6dande f\u00f6r aktieportf\u00f6ljen att missa de st\u00f6rsta uppg\u00e5ngsdagarna p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Och n\u00e4r brukar d\u00e5 dessa dagar infalla? Svaret \u00e4r att de ofta kommer t\u00e4tt inp\u00e5 st\u00f6rre nedg\u00e5ngsdagar. Dessa enstaka uppg\u00e5ngsdagar har haft en v\u00e4ldigt stor betydelse f\u00f6r avkastningen \u00f6ver tid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Till exempel, om du missade de 20 st\u00f6rsta uppg\u00e5ngsdagarna p\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen (inklusive utdelningar) under de senaste 20 \u00e5ren, d\u00e5 mer \u00e4n halverades din \u00e5rliga snittavkastning fr\u00e5n n\u00e4stan 11 % till knappa 5 %, se nedan bild.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Varf\u00f6r tid p\u00e5 marknaden \u00e4r viktigt<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • Det “lugna” alternativet, att bara vara fullinvesterad hela tiden, det ger den h\u00f6gsta genomsnittliga \u00e5rsavkastningen p\u00e5 10,8 % (100 000 kr blir 780 000 kr).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Att missa de 10 b\u00e4sta dagarna s\u00e4nker \u00e5rsavkastningen till 7,1 %, vilket halverar slutkapitalet \u00f6ver 20 \u00e5r.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Missar du de 20 b\u00e4sta dagarna \u00e4r \u00e5rsavkastningen nere p\u00e5 4,6 % och slutkapitalet landar p\u00e5 en tredjedel.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Eller man kan ocks\u00e5 uttrycka det s\u00e5 h\u00e4r, genom att missa de 20 piggaste b\u00f6rsdagarna av totalt 5 000 handelsdagar, f\u00f6rlorar du n\u00e4stan 70 % av din potentiella vinst. Historiskt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Det h\u00e4r blir ett tydligt s\u00e4tt att illustrera exakt hur viktig tid p\u00e5 marknaden \u00e4r och att enstaka dagar med extremt h\u00f6g avkastning ofta \u00e4r skillnaden mellan en fantastisk investering och en medioker s\u00e5dan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Det kan ocks\u00e5 vara p\u00e5 sin plats att se vad avkastningen blivit om vi missat B\u00c5DE de b\u00e4sta b\u00f6rsdagarna men ocks\u00e5 de s\u00e4msta:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Historik v\u00e4rd att b\u00e4ra med sig<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Avkastningen blir faktiskt aningen b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n om du varit fullinvesterad hela tiden. Men det d\u00e4r med tajming \u00e4r sv\u00e5rt och po\u00e4ngen med dessa staplar \u00e4r helt enkelt att belysa varf\u00f6r man som privatsparare ska t\u00e4nka en extra g\u00e5ng innan man g\u00e5r in och ut ur aktiemarknaden. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Oavsett investeringsstil eller kunskapsniv\u00e5 \u00e4r det historik v\u00e4rd att b\u00e4ra med sig. Med det sagt, att justera risken i portf\u00f6ljen fr\u00e5n tid till annan \u00e4r inte fel, ha bara i bakhuvudet att det finns ett slitet finansuttryck som lyder \u201ctime in the market beats timing the market\u201d av en anledning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Lycka till d\u00e4r ute, tack f\u00f6r att du tog dig tid!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \/Calle<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    P.S. F\u00f6r den som tycker det \u00e4r kul att grotta ner sig s\u00e5 hittas alla de st\u00f6rsta upp- och nedg\u00e5ngsdagarna nedan. Vi noterar till exempel att vi hade en nedg\u00e5ng hela 11 % n\u00e4r pandemin br\u00f6t utoch att uppg\u00e5ngen dagen efter landade p\u00e5 + 6,7 %. Drygt en vecka senare steg b\u00f6rsen ytterligare 9 % under en handelsdag. Finanskrisen bj\u00f6d annars p\u00e5 de st\u00f6rsta r\u00f6relserna som ni ser nedan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    De st\u00f6rsta nedg\u00e5ngsdagarna under de senaste 20 \u00e5ren rankat efter procentuell nedg\u00e5ng:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Rank<\/td>Datum<\/td>Fall (%)<\/td>Kontext<\/td><\/tr>
    1<\/td>2020-03-12<\/td>-11,13%<\/td>Pandemin (Svart torsdag)<\/td><\/tr>
    2<\/td>2008-10-06<\/td>-7,11%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    3<\/td>2008-10-24<\/td>-7,03%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    4<\/td>2008-09-29<\/td>-6,64%<\/td>Finanskrisen (USA:s st\u00f6dpaket r\u00f6stas ner)<\/td><\/tr>
    5<\/td>2016-06-24<\/td>-6,42%<\/td>Brexit-omr\u00f6stningen<\/td><\/tr>
    6<\/td>2008-10-08<\/td>-6,41%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    7<\/td>2008-10-10<\/td>-6,14%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    8<\/td>2020-03-09<\/td>-5,49%<\/td>Pandemin (Oljekrig + virusoro)<\/td><\/tr>
    9<\/td>2011-08-18<\/td>-5,35%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    10<\/td>2011-08-04<\/td>-5,22%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    11<\/td>2022-02-24<\/td>-5,08%<\/td>Invasionen av Ukraina inleds<\/td><\/tr>
    12<\/td>2008-11-06<\/td>-5,04%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    13<\/td>2008-01-21<\/td>-4,99%<\/td>Recessionsoro i USA<\/td><\/tr>
    14<\/td>2011-11-01<\/td>-4,97%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    15<\/td>2002-09-03<\/td>-4,90%<\/td>IT-kraschens slutskede<\/td><\/tr>
    16<\/td>2008-12-01<\/td>-4,85%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    17<\/td>2020-03-16<\/td>-4,78%<\/td>Pandemin (Lockdowns b\u00f6rjar)<\/td><\/tr>
    18<\/td>2008-01-22<\/td>-4,65%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    19<\/td>2011-08-10<\/td>-4,47%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    20<\/td>2015-08-24<\/td>-4,42%<\/td>“Black Monday” (Kinas b\u00f6rsras)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    De st\u00f6rsta uppg\u00e5ngsdagarna under de senaste 20 \u00e5ren rankat efter procentuell uppg\u00e5ng:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Rank<\/td>Datum<\/td>Uppg\u00e5ng (%)<\/td>Kontext<\/td><\/tr>
    1<\/td>13\/10\/2008<\/td>+10,19%<\/td>Finanskrisen (R\u00e4ddningspaket)<\/td><\/tr>
    2<\/td>24\/11\/2008<\/td>+9,75%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    3<\/td>29\/10\/2008<\/td>+9,22%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    4<\/td>24\/03\/2020<\/td>+9,17%<\/td>Pandemin (V\u00e4ndningen)<\/td><\/tr>
    5<\/td>08\/12\/2008<\/td>+8,70%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    6<\/td>21\/10\/1998<\/td>+8,33%<\/td>Rysslandskrisen (Historisk referens)<\/td><\/tr>
    7<\/td>14\/10\/2008<\/td>+7,14%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    8<\/td>13\/03\/2020<\/td>+6,65%<\/td>Pandemin (Rekyl efter ras)<\/td><\/tr>
    9<\/td>15\/10\/2002<\/td>+6,52%<\/td>IT-bubblans efterdyningar<\/td><\/tr>
    10<\/td>19\/09\/2008<\/td>+6,34%<\/td>Finanskrisen (Lehman-kraschen p\u00e5g\u00e5r)<\/td><\/tr>
    11<\/td>09\/03\/2022<\/td>+6,23%<\/td>Ukrainakriget (Tillf\u00e4llig \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning)<\/td><\/tr>
    12<\/td>27\/10\/2011<\/td>+5,76%<\/td>Eurokrisen (Greklandsbesked)<\/td><\/tr>
    13<\/td>18\/04\/2001<\/td>+5,58%<\/td>IT-kraschen<\/td><\/tr>
    14<\/td>04\/11\/2008<\/td>+5,44%<\/td>Finanskrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    15<\/td>26\/03\/2020<\/td>+5,42%<\/td>Pandemin<\/td><\/tr>
    16<\/td>10\/05\/2010<\/td>+5,18%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    17<\/td>13\/03\/2003<\/td>+5,12%<\/td>Irakkrigets b\u00f6rjan (Os\u00e4kerhet sl\u00e4pper)<\/td><\/tr>
    18<\/td>11\/08\/2011<\/td>+5,11%<\/td>Eurokrisen<\/td><\/tr>
    19<\/td>25\/08\/2015<\/td>+5,06%<\/td>Kina-oro p\u00e5 marknaden<\/td><\/tr>
    20<\/td>16\/06\/2020<\/td>+4,95%<\/td>Pandemin<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Historisk avkastning \u00e4r ingen garanti f\u00f6r framtida avkastning. Det finns risk att du inte f\u00e5r tillbaka de pengar du investerat.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    H\u00e4r \u00e4r det full fart p\u00e5 nya jobbet och det forts\u00e4tter att h\u00e4nda massor p\u00e5 de finansiella marknaderna. Oljepriset \u00e5ker fortsatt jojo i takt med nyhetsfl\u00f6det, likas\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen. Det \u00e4r en tydlig negativ korrelation vi upplever just nu d\u00e4r ett stigande oljepris f\u00f6ljs av fallande b\u00f6rs och vice versa. Stora r\u00f6relser i oljepriset I skrivande […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68652,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4050],"tags":[4825],"class_list":["post-87599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investeringsstrategi","tag-start"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/calle3-150x54.jpg","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/calle3-150x54.jpg 150w, 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