Efter tv\u00e4ra geopolitiska kast och ett aldrig sinande tullst\u00f6k har den amerikanska rapports\u00e4songen inletts. Har de f\u00f6rsta bolagen levt upp till analytikernas f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar? Finwire har gjort en genomg\u00e5ng och tar ocks\u00e5 upp vilka sektorer som \u00e4r s\u00e4rskilt utsatta f\u00f6r Trumps nyckfulla politik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
B\u00f6rsen har samtidigt \u00e5ngat p\u00e5 och det breda S&P 500-indexet passerade i veckan f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen milstolpen 7 000 punkter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Men os\u00e4kerhetsfaktorer finns kvar i kulisserna. Det \u00e4r fortsatt oklart n\u00e4r H\u00f6gsta domstolen i USA ger besked om tullarnas laglighet. Amerikanska krigsfartyg har anl\u00e4nt i n\u00e4rheten av Iran, men \u00e4n har varken f\u00f6rhandling eller attack inletts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trumps nylanserade fredsr\u00e5d, Board of Peace, har f\u00e5tt begr\u00e4nsat gensvar och hans popularitet minskar inom landet. Samtidigt har den ekonomiska politiken bidragit till en fortsatt f\u00f6rsvagning av dollarn. Inflationen \u00f6verraskar dock inte, utan h\u00e5ller sig som v\u00e4ntat p\u00e5 2,8 procent, sett till k\u00e4rn-PCE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
F\u00f6r en utl\u00e4ndsk investerare kan det ocks\u00e5 vara v\u00e4rt att notera att dollarn handlas p\u00e5 fyra\u00e5rsl\u00e4gsta, vilket knappast gynnar en portf\u00f6lj som varit investerad i dollar med svenska kronor (och missat en fenomenal kronf\u00f6rst\u00e4rkning).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Av 64 bolag i S&P 500 som hittills har sl\u00e4ppt siffror har 70 procent slagit vinstf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna och vinsterna \u00f6vertr\u00e4ffar prognoserna med 7 procent, enligt Bank of America. Totalt har 18 procent av indexet redan rapporterat. Snittet vid den h\u00e4r tiden har varit att 64 procent varit b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Samtidigt \u00e4r guidningen generellt f\u00f6rsiktig och marknadsreaktionerna ovanligt negativa efter rapporterna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00e4r rapports\u00e4songen inleddes med bankerna stal Trump showen med att han vill begr\u00e4nsa kreditkortsr\u00e4ntor till 10 procent. Det ledde till att Bank of America, Wells Fargo och Citigroup f\u00f6ll efter blandade rapporter. \u00c4ven American Express, Visa och Mastercard backade, medan Morgan Stanley och Goldman Sachs steg runt 5-6 procent efter starka rapporter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kapitalf\u00f6rvaltaren Blackrock slog ocks\u00e5 analytikernas f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar efter rekordstarka infl\u00f6den under fjol\u00e5ret, vilket fick aktien att stiga 5,9 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En kalldusch kom d\u00e4remot fr\u00e5n Intel som rasade 17 procent. Trots ett \u00f6verraskande bra resultat tog marknaden fasta p\u00e5 den svaga guidningen f\u00f6r det p\u00e5g\u00e5ende Q1-kvartalet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Netflix rapporterade n\u00e5got b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat, men aktien f\u00f6ll \u00e4nd\u00e5. Samtidigt p\u00e5g\u00e5r en budstrid om Warner Bros Discoverys studios och streamingverksamhet, d\u00e4r Netflix lagt ett kontantbud p\u00e5 27,75 dollar per aktie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I veckan har ocks\u00e5 tre av sju Magnificent-bolagen rapporterat: Microsoft, Tesla och Meta. Ikv\u00e4ll (torsdag) efter st\u00e4ngning kommer Apple med sin kvartalsrapport. Fokus ligger inte bara p\u00e5 siffrorna, utan \u00e4ven p\u00e5 guidningen fram\u00e5t och hur l\u00f6nsamma techj\u00e4ttarnas AI-tj\u00e4nster blir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Efter onsdagens st\u00e4ngning h\u00f6jdes temperaturen med rapporter fr\u00e5n Meta, Microsoft och Tesla. I efterhandeln steg Meta 6,6 procent efter en optimistisk prognos. Tesla kom ocks\u00e5 in \u00f6ver analytikerkonsensus men r\u00f6rde sig mer f\u00f6rsiktigt upp 1,9 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Microsoft redovisade visserligen ett resultat som \u00f6vertr\u00e4ffade prognoserna, men guidningen och utvecklingen inom Azure r\u00e4ckte inte f\u00f6r att lugna marknaden och aktien f\u00f6ll 6,1 procent. Sammantaget visar rapporterna att starka resultat inte alltid r\u00e4cker; prognoser och framtidsutsikter v\u00e4ger allt tyngre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bland \u00f6vriga rapporterande bolag steg General Motors efter ett starkare resultat \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat, medan Texas Instruments rusade n\u00e4ra 10 procent p\u00e5 en stark guidning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Samtidigt kan det vara v\u00e4rt att ta upp vilka sektorer som p\u00e5verkas lite extra av Trumps utspel den senaste tiden. Techsektorn fick exempelvis extra skjuts efter TSMC:s rapport, vilket ocks\u00e5 gett st\u00f6d \u00e5t halvledarbolag b\u00e5de i Europa och USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
F\u00f6rutom det tidigare n\u00e4mnda utspelet om r\u00e4ntetaket som slog mot bankernas har den amerikanske presidenten riktat kritik mot f\u00f6rsvarssektorn och kr\u00e4vt att bolagen stoppar utdelningar och \u00e5terk\u00f6p f\u00f6r att \u00f6ka investeringarna. F\u00f6rsvarsaktier v\u00e4nde snabbt ned p\u00e5 utspelet, men \u00e5terh\u00e4mtade sig efter besked om att Trump vill se en kraftig \u00f6kning av milit\u00e4rbudgeten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Oljebolag kan ocks\u00e5 p\u00e5verkas efter att Trump tr\u00e4ffat ledarna f\u00f6r de stora energibolagen och uppgett att amerikanska producenter kan \u00e5terv\u00e4nda till Venezuela.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c4ven v\u00e5rdsektorn pressades n\u00e4r Trumpadministrationen f\u00f6reslog n\u00e4stan of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade ers\u00e4ttningsniv\u00e5er f\u00f6r Medicare Advantage. CVS, Humana och Unitedhealth backade alla tv\u00e5siffriga procent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Efter tv\u00e4ra geopolitiska kast och ett aldrig sinande tullst\u00f6k har den amerikanska rapports\u00e4songen inletts. Har de f\u00f6rsta bolagen levt upp till analytikernas f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar? Finwire har gjort en genomg\u00e5ng och tar ocks\u00e5 upp vilka sektorer som \u00e4r s\u00e4rskilt utsatta f\u00f6r Trumps nyckfulla politik. B\u00f6rsen har samtidigt \u00e5ngat p\u00e5 och det breda S&P 500-indexet passerade i veckan 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