{"id":86236,"date":"2025-11-05T07:35:24","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T06:35:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=86236"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:45:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:45:56","slug":"vinstforvantningarna-stiger-svagt-efter-q3-rapporterna-men-stora-skillnader-mellan-bolagen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/vinstforvantningarna-stiger-svagt-efter-q3-rapporterna-men-stora-skillnader-mellan-bolagen\/","title":{"rendered":"Vinstf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna stiger svagt efter Q3-rapporterna, men stora skillnader mellan bolagen"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Efter att en majoritet av storbolagen sl\u00e4ppt sina del\u00e5rsrapporter f\u00f6r tredje kvartalet har analytikerk\u00e5ren h\u00f6jt vinstf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna marginellt, med 0,3 procent f\u00f6r medianbolaget. Det visar en sammanst\u00e4llning av 77 bolag som Finwire gjort med data fr\u00e5n Factset. Skillnaderna mellan bolagen \u00e4r dock stora; fr\u00e5n kraftiga uppjusteringar till betydande s\u00e4nkningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den st\u00f6rsta h\u00f6jningen g\u00e4ller IT-\u00e5terf\u00f6rs\u00e4ljaren Dustin, d\u00e4r vinstf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna lyfts med hela 112 procent. D\u00e4refter f\u00f6ljer Knowit, Tieto och Ericsson med \u00f6kningar p\u00e5 44, 11 respektive 11 procent. Vad g\u00e4ller Volvo Cars, har konsensus lyfts fr\u00e5n tydligt negativt till klart positivt efter Q3-rapporten. D\u00e5 talen sv\u00e4ngt fr\u00e5n minus till plus anges inte f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen i procent, som d\u00e5 blir missvisande. Inneb\u00f6rden \u00e4r dock en rej\u00e4l f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I motsatt \u00e4nde finns Alleima, Husqvarna och Inwido, med nedjusteringar p\u00e5 8, 7 respektive 6 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I byggsektorn, d\u00e4r f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna \u00f6verlag har justerats upp, sticker Afry ut p\u00e5 nedsidan med s\u00e4nkta prognoser efter rapportdagen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sektorsvis har analytikerna h\u00f6jt vinstestimaten mest f\u00f6r IT-sektorn, med 6 procent i median, f\u00f6ljt av r\u00e5varusektorn med 3 procent, d\u00e4r dock endast Boliden ing\u00e5r i sammanst\u00e4llningen, ska till\u00e4ggas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 nedsidan m\u00e4rks fastighetssektorn, d\u00e4r det samlade estimatet har s\u00e4nkts med 6 procent. \u00c4ven h\u00e4r omfattar sammanst\u00e4llningen endast ett bolag, Hemnet. D\u00e4refter f\u00f6ljer finansiella tj\u00e4nster och konsumtionsvaror, b\u00e5da ned 2 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r mat- och dryckessektorn har vinstestimaten i stort sett varit of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrade sedan rapportperioden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avst\u00e4mningen gjordes den 3 november. Samtliga bolag i urvalet bevakas av minst tre analytiker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e5terst\u00e5r samtidigt en rad bolag att rapportera f\u00f6r tredje kvartalet, d\u00e4ribland exempelvis Astra Zeneca, Skanska och Nibe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sektor\/bolag<\/strong><\/td>Resultatm\u00e5tt<\/strong><\/td>Konsensus, nul\u00e4ge<\/strong><\/td>F\u00f6r\u00e4ndring i konsensus j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med konsensus 1 dag innan rapport<\/strong><\/td>Antal estimat<\/strong><\/td>Rapportdag<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Bank och finans<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Avanza<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>3 209<\/td>1,1%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-16<\/td><\/tr>
Handelsbanken<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>30 304<\/td>1,2%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
Nordea (meur)<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>6 338<\/td>2,5%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-15<\/td><\/tr>
Nordnet<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>3 669<\/td>-0,6%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
SEB<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>41 089<\/td>-1,0%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Swedbank<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>40 263<\/td>3,1%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
TF Bank<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>859<\/td>1,3%<\/td>3<\/td>2025-10-14<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Betting<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Betsson (meur)<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>330<\/td>-0,5%<\/td>3<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Evolution (meur)<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>1 379<\/td>-2,2%<\/td>18<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Bygg<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Afry<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>1 814<\/td>-3,7%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
NCC<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>1 885<\/td>6,0%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Lindab<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 081<\/td>0,5%<\/td>3<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Sweco<\/td>Ebita<\/td>3 368<\/td>3,7%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-29<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Fastigheter<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Hemnet<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>810<\/td>-5,6%<\/td>13<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Finansiella tj\u00e4nster<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Intrum<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>5 002<\/td>-3,4%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-30<\/td><\/tr>
Ratos<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>2 039<\/td>-0,9%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Fordon och komponenter<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Autoliv (musd)<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 107<\/td>0,2%<\/td>24<\/td>2025-10-17<\/td><\/tr>
Volvo<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>49 946<\/td>-2,9%<\/td>18<\/td>2025-10-17<\/td><\/tr>
Volvo Cars<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>1 766<\/td>\u00f6kat fr\u00e5n – till +<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Gaming<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Stillfront<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>2 075<\/td>1,8%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
H\u00e4lsov\u00e5rd<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Arjo<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>1 947<\/td>-3,0%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
Bonesupport<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>242<\/td>-2,3%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Sobi<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>10 578<\/td>4,6%<\/td>10<\/td>2025-10-20<\/td><\/tr>
Xvivo<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>148<\/td>1,4%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Industrivaror och -tj\u00e4nster<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
ABB (musd)<\/td>Ebita, operativt<\/td>6 642<\/td>-0,1%<\/td>18<\/td>2025-10-16<\/td><\/tr>
Addtech<\/td>Ebita<\/td>3 537<\/td>1,4%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Alfa Laval<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>12 443<\/td>0,8%<\/td>13<\/td>2025-10-28<\/td><\/tr>
Assa Abloy<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>24 864<\/td>0,8%<\/td>19<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Atlas Copco<\/td>R\u00f6relseres, justerat<\/td>35 439<\/td>-0,4%<\/td>21<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Beijer Ref<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>3 854<\/td>0,0%<\/td>9<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Bergman & Beving<\/td>Ebita<\/td>514<\/td>2,2%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
Epiroc<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>12 137<\/td>-1,6%<\/td>17<\/td>2025-10-29<\/td><\/tr>
Gr\u00e4nges<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 559<\/td>2,7%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Hexagon (meur)<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 451<\/td>5,9%<\/td>14<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Indutrade<\/td>Ebita<\/td>4 489<\/td>-0,7%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Inwido<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>846<\/td>-6,3%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Lagercrantz<\/td>Ebita<\/td>1 838<\/td>0,5%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Lifco<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>6 312<\/td>2,1%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Munters<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>2 018<\/td>0,7%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Nolato<\/td>Ebita<\/td>1 094<\/td>0,8%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-28<\/td><\/tr>
Saab<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>7 509<\/td>2,1%<\/td>11<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Sandvik<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>23 108<\/td>0,0%<\/td>12<\/td>2025-10-20<\/td><\/tr>
Sdiptech<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>999<\/td>0,3%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
SKF<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>11 709<\/td>-0,5%<\/td>17<\/td>2025-10-29<\/td><\/tr>
Trelleborg<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>5 716<\/td>0,4%<\/td>10<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Troax (meur)<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>36<\/td>-1,5%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-29<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
IT<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Dustin<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>471<\/td>111,5%<\/td>4<\/td>2025-10-08<\/td><\/tr>
Ericsson<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>31 530<\/td>10,6%<\/td>10<\/td>2025-10-14<\/td><\/tr>
Hexatronic<\/td>Ebita<\/td>615<\/td>-2,4%<\/td>3<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Knowit<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>96<\/td>44,2%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Mycronic<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>1 992<\/td>0,7%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Tieto (meur)<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>239<\/td>10,9%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Truecaller<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>700<\/td>-3,1%<\/td>9<\/td>2025-10-28<\/td><\/tr>
Vitec<\/td>Ebita<\/td>983<\/td>-2,6%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-16<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Kemisk industri<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Hexpol<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>2 927<\/td>-0,9%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Konsumtionsvaror<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Dometic<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>2 349<\/td>-3,0%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Electrolux Professional<\/td>Ebita<\/td>1 381<\/td>-1,7%<\/td>3<\/td>2025-10-29<\/td><\/tr>
Essity<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>19 275<\/td>1,2%<\/td>9<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
H&M<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>17 482<\/td>6,8%<\/td>25<\/td>2025-09-25<\/td><\/tr>
Mips<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>168<\/td>-3,8%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Mat och dryck<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Axfood<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 649<\/td>-1,6%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
AAK<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>4 944<\/td>1,3%<\/td>10<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Medicinteknik<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Getinge<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>4 829<\/td>1,2%<\/td>9<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
R\u00e5varor<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Boliden<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>9 921<\/td>2,9%<\/td>12<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Skog<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Billerud<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>4 024<\/td>2,0%<\/td>9<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Holmen<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 381<\/td>-1,3%<\/td>11<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
SCA<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>4 800<\/td>-1,7%<\/td>14<\/td>2025-10-24<\/td><\/tr>
Stora Enso (meur)<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>531<\/td>2,9%<\/td>17<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
St\u00e5l<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Alleima<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 536<\/td>-7,6%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
SSAB<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>6 018<\/td>-2,3%<\/td>17<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
S\u00e4llank\u00f6p<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Bilia<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>1 355<\/td>0,3%<\/td>5<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
Electrolux<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 364<\/td>0,3%<\/td>11<\/td>2025-10-30<\/td><\/tr>
Husqvarna<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 183<\/td>-6,7%<\/td>7<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Thule<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>1 693<\/td>0,6%<\/td>8<\/td>2025-10-22<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Teleoperat\u00f6rer<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
HMS Network<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>798<\/td>2,9%<\/td>6<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Tele2<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>13 071<\/td>-1,0%<\/td>17<\/td>2025-10-21<\/td><\/tr>
Telia<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>31 963<\/td>-0,3%<\/td>16<\/td>2025-10-23<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
K\u00e4lla: Factset<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Efter att en majoritet av storbolagen sl\u00e4ppt sina del\u00e5rsrapporter f\u00f6r tredje kvartalet har analytikerk\u00e5ren h\u00f6jt vinstf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna marginellt, med 0,3 procent f\u00f6r medianbolaget. Det visar en sammanst\u00e4llning av 77 bolag som Finwire gjort med data fr\u00e5n Factset. Skillnaderna mellan bolagen \u00e4r dock stora; fr\u00e5n kraftiga uppjusteringar till betydande s\u00e4nkningar. Den st\u00f6rsta h\u00f6jningen g\u00e4ller IT-\u00e5terf\u00f6rs\u00e4ljaren Dustin, d\u00e4r 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