{"id":86204,"date":"2025-10-30T09:30:47","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T08:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=86204"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:45:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:45:56","slug":"guldet-tappar-fart-men-storbanker-ser-ny-rekordvag-framfor-sig","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/guldet-tappar-fart-men-storbanker-ser-ny-rekordvag-framfor-sig\/","title":{"rendered":"Guldet tappar fart, men storbanker ser ny rekordv\u00e5g framf\u00f6r sig"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Guldpriset har fallit omkring 9 procent sedan toppen i slutet av oktober, samtidigt som guldrelaterade aktier<\/a> som Lundin Gold tappat runt 17 procent. Fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r om toppen \u00e4r n\u00e5dd eller om den senaste nedg\u00e5ngen bara \u00e4r en paus i en l\u00e4ngre uppg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4delmetallen handlas \u00e5ter \u00f6ver 4 000 dollarstrecket efter att ha n\u00e5tt s\u00e5 h\u00f6gt som 4 400 dollar under en n\u00e4rmast parabolisk uppg\u00e5ng tidigare i h\u00f6st. Hittills i \u00e5r har guldet stigit med drygt 52 procent, vilket g\u00f6r 2025 till det starkaste \u00e5ret sedan energikrisen 1979.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen<\/a> har Lundin Gold lyft hela 173 procent sedan \u00e5rsskiftet, men allts\u00e5 tappat tillbaka en del efter toppnoteringen den 20 oktober.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uppg\u00e5ngen i guldet har drivits av oro f\u00f6r den amerikanska ekonomin, en svagare dollar och f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar om att Federal Reserve snart b\u00f6rjar s\u00e4nka r\u00e4ntan, skriver Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investerare har samtidigt str\u00f6mmat till guld-ETF<\/a>:er, vars tillg\u00e5ngar vuxit med 43 procent sedan \u00e5rsskiftet. Hedgefonder har ocks\u00e5 \u00f6kat sina positioner. N\u00e4ra h\u00e4lften av deras r\u00e5varuportf\u00f6ljer best\u00e5r nu av guld, vilket visar att metallen fortsatt ses som en trygg hamn i ett os\u00e4kert ekonomiskt klimat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

St\u00f6d fr\u00e5n centralbanker och budgetunderskott<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bank of America h\u00f6r till dem som ser fortsatt potential. Banken r\u00e4knar med ett genomsnittspris p\u00e5 3 800 dollar under fj\u00e4rde kvartalet men tror att guldet kan n\u00e5 5 000 dollar per uns n\u00e4sta \u00e5r om investeringsfl\u00f6dena \u00f6kar i samma takt som hittills. En \u00e4nnu st\u00f6rre uppg\u00e5ng till 6 000 dollar skulle enligt banken kr\u00e4va att infl\u00f6dena stiger med 28 procent fr\u00e5n dagens niv\u00e5er.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banken pekar p\u00e5 centralbankernas rekordstora guldink\u00f6p och de amerikanska budgetunderskotten som viktiga drivkrafter. I september \u00f6kade infl\u00f6dena till guld-ETF:er med hela 880 procent j\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med samma m\u00e5nad i fjol, till rekordh\u00f6ga 14 miljarder dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den senaste tidens prisnedg\u00e5ng f\u00f6rklaras fr\u00e4mst av minskad oro kring en m\u00f6jlig regeringsnedst\u00e4ngning i USA, f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrade handelsutsikter och en starkare dollar \u2013 faktorer som tillf\u00e4lligt d\u00e4mpat efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 s\u00e4kra tillg\u00e5ngar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flera banker h\u00f6jer prognoserna<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4ven JP Morgan och Societe Generale r\u00e4knar med h\u00f6gre guldpriser fram\u00f6ver. JP Morgan har h\u00f6jt sin l\u00e5ngsiktiga prognos med 80 procent till 3 850 dollar per uns och h\u00e4nvisar till f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i det globala finanssystemet. Societe Generale v\u00e4ntar sig att guldet n\u00e5r 5 000 dollar vid slutet av 2026, drivet av fortsatt starka ETF-fl\u00f6den och centralbankers k\u00f6p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UBS har i sin tur h\u00f6jt sina guldprognoser till 4 200 dollar per uns och ser liknande st\u00f6d fr\u00e5n fallande realr\u00e4ntor och v\u00e4xande obalanser i finanspolitiken. Banken har ocks\u00e5 justerat upp sina silverprognoser, som v\u00e4ntas gynnas av samma utveckling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Expert: Guldets uppg\u00e5ng sprider sig till andra metaller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e5varuexperten Torbj\u00f6rn Iwarson manar till f\u00f6rsiktighet. Han ser inget ras framf\u00f6r sig, men tror att uppg\u00e5ngen nu sprider sig till andra metaller. \u201dSilver har faktiskt g\u00e5tt b\u00e4ttre i \u00e5r, i en slags catch up-r\u00f6relse. \u00c4ven platina och palladium har stigit\u201d, s\u00e4ger han till Dagens industri. Iwarson lyfter ocks\u00e5 fram koppar och vete som m\u00f6jliga vinnare fram\u00f6ver. Koppar gynnas av elektrifieringen, medan vetepriset enligt honom har fallit till niv\u00e5er som g\u00f6r det sv\u00e5rt f\u00f6r lantbrukare att f\u00e5 l\u00f6nsamhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalio: \u201dGuld \u00e4r s\u00e4krare \u00e4n dollarn\u201d <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Investeringsprofilen Ray Dalio, grundare av hedgefondj\u00e4tten Bridgewater Associates, forts\u00e4tter att f\u00f6respr\u00e5ka guld som skydd i oroliga tider. Han beskriver \u00e4delmetallen som en s\u00e4krare tillg\u00e5ng \u00e4n den amerikanska dollarn och rekommenderar att upp till 15 procent av portf\u00f6ljen placeras i guld. Dalio varnar f\u00f6r att v\u00e4xande statsskulder i USA och andra stora ekonomier undergr\u00e4ver f\u00f6rtroendet f\u00f6r valutorna. P\u00e5 FutureChina Global Forum i Singapore sade han att icke-fiatvalutor som guld blir allt viktigare som v\u00e4rdebevarare n\u00e4r regeringar forts\u00e4tter att l\u00e5na och spendera.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trots den senaste nedg\u00e5ngen ser m\u00e5nga analytiker fortfarande en upp\u00e5tg\u00e5ende trend f\u00f6r guldet. ING beskriver niv\u00e5n kring 4 000 dollar som ett historiskt genombrott och tror att centralbanker forts\u00e4tter att k\u00f6pa n\u00e4sta \u00e5r, ledda av Polen som redan h\u00f6jt andelen guld till 30 procent av sina reserver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men alla \u00e4r inte lika positiva. Bill Gross, k\u00e4nd som obligationskungen varnar f\u00f6r att guldrallyt kan ha n\u00e5tt sin topp. Han j\u00e4mf\u00f6r guldet med s\u00e5 kallade momentum- och \u201dmeme-aktier\u201d och menar att en stor del av uppg\u00e5ngen har drivits av spekulation snarare \u00e4n av fundamentala faktorer. Det skriver Business Insider.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Guldpriset har fallit omkring 9 procent sedan toppen i slutet av oktober, samtidigt som guldrelaterade aktier som Lundin Gold tappat runt 17 procent. Fr\u00e5gan \u00e4r om toppen \u00e4r n\u00e5dd eller om den senaste nedg\u00e5ngen bara \u00e4r en paus i en l\u00e4ngre uppg\u00e5ng. \u00c4delmetallen handlas \u00e5ter \u00f6ver 4 000 dollarstrecket efter att ha n\u00e5tt s\u00e5 h\u00f6gt […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40081,"featured_media":22646,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/gold-163519_1280-150x84.jpg","width":150,"height":84,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/gold-163519_1280-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/09\/gold-163519_1280-620x349.jpg 620w, 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