{"id":85655,"date":"2025-09-11T13:19:46","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T11:19:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=85655"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:51:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:51:44","slug":"banksektorn-har-presterat-bast-pa-borsen-i-ar-fastigheter-samst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/banksektorn-har-presterat-bast-pa-borsen-i-ar-fastigheter-samst\/","title":{"rendered":"Banksektorn har presterat b\u00e4st p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen i \u00e5r – fastigheter s\u00e4mst"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Stockholmsb\u00f6rsens storbolagsindex OMXS30 har hittills i \u00e5r avancerat 6 procent. Skillnaderna mellan sektorerna \u00e4r stora. B\u00e4st har bankerna g\u00e5tt, st\u00e4rkta av utdelningar, medan fastighetssektorn ligger i botten och nu handlas till en historiskt l\u00e5g v\u00e4rdering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banksektorn som \u00e4r k\u00e4nda f\u00f6r h\u00f6g direktavkastning, allts\u00e5 utdelningar, har levererat en totalavkastning p\u00e5 32 procent, enligt en genomg\u00e5ng av Handelsbanken i veckan. Den goda utvecklingen kommer av stabila rapporter, l\u00e5ga kreditf\u00f6rluster och h\u00f6ga utdelningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bland de fyra storbankerna har Swedbank g\u00e5tt b\u00e4st med en ren kursuppg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 25 procent medan Handelsbanken har haft minst positiv utveckling, \u00e4nd\u00e5 plus 6 procent f\u00f6re utdelningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forts\u00e4tter vi att kolla sektorsvis har \u00e4ven energi (+13 procent) och finansbolag (+12 procent) i stort, d\u00e4r bankerna ocks\u00e5 ing\u00e5r utvecklats starkt, f\u00f6ljt av industrin och telekom (b\u00e5da +6 procent).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En mer blygsam uppg\u00e5ng m\u00e4rks f\u00f6r teknik (+4 procent) och basmaterial (+3 procent).
H\u00e4lsov\u00e5rd \u00e4r marginellt upp (+2 procent) medan konsumentsektorn pressats: S\u00e4llank\u00f6psvaror (-2 procent) och dagligvarubolag (-4 procent), enligt data fr\u00e5n Millistream.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konsumtionen kan ge skjuts \u00e5t ekonomin n\u00e4sta \u00e5r<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Handelsbanken beskriver l\u00e4get f\u00f6r exporterande bolag som d\u00e4mpat n\u00e4r den globala ekonomin bromsar in efter att USA h\u00f6jt sina importtullar till i genomsnitt 17 procent. Samtidigt ser banken tecken p\u00e5 en \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning ledd av konsumtion n\u00e4sta \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banken f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r att Sveriges BNP v\u00e4xer 1,1 procent i \u00e5r och d\u00e4refter \u00f6kar 2,4 procent \u00e5rligen under perioden 2026-2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“L\u00e4get f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttras steg f\u00f6r steg. Hush\u00e5llen har varit f\u00f6rsiktiga efter flera \u00e5r av upprepade motg\u00e5ngar. N\u00e4r reall\u00f6nerna nu stiger, r\u00e4ntorna har kommit ner och framf\u00f6rallt finanspolitiken blir mer expansiv st\u00e4rks k\u00f6pkraften. Det talar f\u00f6r att konsumtionen \u00f6kar och att arbetsmarknaden f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttras under 2026”, s\u00e4ger Handelsbankens chefsekonom Christina Nyman, i en konjunkturrapport.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inflationen bed\u00f6ms falla tillbaka mot 2 procent, och Riksbanken f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5s s\u00e4nka r\u00e4ntan en sista g\u00e5ng i september till 1,75 procent, framg\u00e5r det vidare av konjunkturrapporten. Kronan som har st\u00e4rkts den senaste tiden bed\u00f6ms kunna forts\u00e4tta att st\u00e4rkas gradvis fram till 2027 av starkare statsfinanser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pressad fastighetssektor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Handelsbanken konstaterar att fastighetssektorn dras med en historiskt l\u00e5g v\u00e4rdering. P\/e-talet p\u00e5 ett \u00e5rs sikt har fallit till 17 fr\u00e5n 20 under 2022. Detta kan j\u00e4mf\u00f6ras med att samma nyckeltal f\u00f6r OMX All-share har \u00f6kat till 14 fr\u00e5n 14 under samma period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Handelsbanken bed\u00f6mer att stabila r\u00e4ntor, v\u00e4ntad BNP-tillv\u00e4xt och \u00f6kade transaktionsvolymer kan st\u00f6dja sektorn fram\u00f6ver. Bostadsmarknaden \u00e4r fortsatt tr\u00f6g med l\u00e5nga f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningstider, men banken r\u00e4knar med prisuppg\u00e5ngar p\u00e5 5-6 procent \u00e5rligen 2026-2027. N\u00e5got som v\u00e4ntas bidra till uppg\u00e5ngen \u00e4r om regeringens f\u00f6rslag att h\u00f6ja bol\u00e5netaket till 90 procent och att slopa det sk\u00e4rpta amorteringskravet, blir verklighet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bland positiva insynsaff\u00e4rer i den pressade fastighetssektorn m\u00e4rks Fastpartners vd Sven-Olof Johansson som i september har k\u00f6pt aktier<\/a> i bolaget f\u00f6r 191 miljoner kronor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vad tror d\u00e5 allm\u00e4nheten om bostadspriserna rent generellt fram\u00f6ver? En SBAB-unders\u00f6kning visar att 44 procent av bostads\u00e4garna tror p\u00e5 stigande priser kommande \u00e5ret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Castellums nye vd P\u00e5l Ahls\u00e9n, betonar \u00e5 sin sida vikten av att ha r\u00e4tt best\u00e5nd, d\u00e5 vakansrisken \u00e4r h\u00f6g i vissa marknader som Finland, K\u00f6penhamn och Kista. Det framg\u00e5r av en intervju med Dagens Industri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tv\u00e5 tongivande r\u00f6ster om h\u00f6sten: DNB Carnegie Private Bankings aktiechef Karl Hedberg varnar f\u00f6r en volatil h\u00f6st. Han framh\u00e5ller att v\u00e4rderingen av amerikanska aktier \u00e4r h\u00f6g, tullar kan p\u00e5verka negativt och det finns en risk f\u00f6r vinsthemtagningar i techj\u00e4ttarna, n\u00e5got som han sammantaget menar talar f\u00f6r st\u00f6rre risk p\u00e5 nedsidan \u00e4n potential p\u00e5 uppsidan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miljard\u00e4ren Fredrik Lundberg ser d\u00e4remot en ljusare utveckling. Han har investerat \u00f6ver 1,3 miljarder kronor i investmentbolaget Lundbergs innehav i \u00e5r och tror att makro-oron gradvis minskar. Han f\u00f6rutsp\u00e5r tillv\u00e4xt i Europa fr\u00e5n vintern och fram\u00e5t. “Vi har fina bolag med goda f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningar att skapa v\u00e4rde p\u00e5 sikt”, s\u00e4ger han bland annat till EFN.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avst\u00e4mningen gjordes vid 10.30-tiden 11 september.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u00e4sta sektor p\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen hittills i \u00e5r \u00e4r bankerna, st\u00e4rkta av utdelningar, medan fastighetssektorn ligger i botten och nu handlas till en historiskt l\u00e5g v\u00e4rdering.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40081,"featured_media":25785,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-85655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x628_bild-150x79.jpg","width":150,"height":79,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x628_bild-150x79.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x628_bild-620x324.jpg 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