{"id":84312,"date":"2025-04-11T14:19:29","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T12:19:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=84312"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:48:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:48:24","slug":"infor-q1-har-ar-bolagen-och-sektorerna-med-storst-andringar-i-forvantningarna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/infor-q1-har-ar-bolagen-och-sektorerna-med-storst-andringar-i-forvantningarna\/","title":{"rendered":"Inf\u00f6r Q1: H\u00e4r \u00e4r bolagen och sektorerna med st\u00f6rst \u00e4ndringar i f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Med bara n\u00e5gra veckor kvar till n\u00e4sta rapports\u00e4song drar ig\u00e5ng har Finwire tittat p\u00e5 hur analytikernas resultatf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar har \u00e4ndras efter senaste rapportsl\u00e4ppet under januari-februari.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I genomsnitt har de s\u00e4nkts med 3,6 procent inf\u00f6r Q1-rapporterna, enligt data fr\u00e5n Factset. Skillnaderna mellan olika sektorer och enskilda bolag \u00e4r samtidigt h\u00f6g.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De aktier<\/a> som har f\u00e5tt mest h\u00f6jda f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar \u00e4r Lagercrantz, HMS Networks och Nolato med 13, 9 respektive 4 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nedrevideringar inom flera sektorer<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I andra v\u00e5gsk\u00e5len \u00e5terfinns Electrolux, SCA och Nokia vars f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar sjunkit med 30, 18 respektive 16 procent av analytikerk\u00e5ren. Men faktum \u00e4r att det varit stora nedrevideringar \u00e4ven inom fordon- och komponentsektorn samt IT-sektorn med 9 och 8 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sett till sektorer s\u00e5 har analytikerna gjort upprevideringar enbart f\u00f6r tv\u00e5 stycken, medicinteknik samt bank och finans samt med blygsamma 1,5 procent respektive 1,3 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De sektorer ist\u00e4llet f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna har skruvats ned mest p\u00e5 \u00e4r st\u00e5l, skog och s\u00e4llank\u00f6p med 13, 13 respektive 12 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forts\u00e4tter att f\u00f6rv\u00e4rva<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Vad g\u00e4ller Lagercrantz \u00f6verraskade teknikhandelsbolaget positivt i sin Q3-rapport (brutet r\u00e4kenskaps\u00e5r), b\u00e5de vad g\u00e4ller oms\u00e4ttning och resultat. Under kvartalet genomf\u00f6rdes \u00e5tta f\u00f6rv\u00e4rv, och bolaget har fortsatt sin f\u00f6rv\u00e4rvsstrategi \u00e4ven efter rapporten i januari. Marknadsl\u00e4get beskrevs d\u00e5 som stabilt f\u00f6r majoriteten av verksamheterna, \u00e4ven om det kan dr\u00f6ja n\u00e5gra kvartal innan en \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning m\u00e4rks inom vissa sektorer. Vd:n uppgav i samband med Q3-rapporten att flera attraktiva aff\u00e4rer \u00e4r under utv\u00e4rdering. I en intervju med Dagens industri nyligen betonade ocks\u00e5 vd:n att deras framg\u00e5ng bygger p\u00e5 att man inte har n\u00e5gon exitstrategi f\u00f6r f\u00f6rv\u00e4rvade bolag \u2013 fokus ligger ist\u00e4llet p\u00e5 att utveckla dem l\u00e5ngsiktigt. Det st\u00e4rker kassafl\u00f6det, vilket i sin tur m\u00f6jligg\u00f6r nya f\u00f6rv\u00e4rv. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d6kade blankningar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Electrolux har \u00e5 sin sida sett en \u00f6kning i blankningar sedan Q4-rapporten i januari, vilket tyder p\u00e5 \u00f6kad spekulation om fortsatt kursfall. Ungef\u00e4r 10 procent av aktiekapitalet \u00e4r nu blankat, upp fr\u00e5n 7,2 procent f\u00f6re rapporten. Trots att b\u00e5de oms\u00e4ttning och resultat \u00f6vertr\u00e4ffade f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna, f\u00f6ll rapporten inte marknaden i smaken. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Rationell sektorrotation”<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Banksektorn \u00e4r allts\u00e5 en av f\u00e5 sektorer som har f\u00e5tt h\u00f6jda resultatestimat av analytikerk\u00e5ren. Det var ocks\u00e5 en av de mest popul\u00e4ra sektorerna bland privatsparare hos flera n\u00e4tm\u00e4klare i februari. En f\u00f6rklaring \u00e4r en rationell sektorrotation efter b\u00f6rsuppg\u00e5ngen i USA (innan det senaste b\u00f6rsraset som f\u00f6ljde p\u00e5 Trumps svepande tullar mot en m\u00e4ngd l\u00e4nder och mottullar fr\u00e5n bland annat Kina). Det finns \u00e4ven f\u00f6rhoppningar om att den svenska industrikonjunkturen har bottnat och att r\u00e4ntorna kan stabiliseras. Den h\u00f6ga direktavkastningen inf\u00f6r utdelningss\u00e4songen bidrog sannolikt ocks\u00e5 till det \u00f6kade intresset. \u00c5landsbanken lyfte nyligen fram att sektorn \u00e4r l\u00e5gt v\u00e4rderad i f\u00f6rh\u00e5llande till den f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntade l\u00f6nsamheten kommande \u00e5r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

St\u00e5lsektorn, med SSAB i fokus, har sett s\u00e4nkta resultatf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar fr\u00e5n analytikerk\u00e5ren. I mars inf\u00f6rde Trump tullar p\u00e5 st\u00e5l och aluminium \u2013 n\u00e5got som v\u00e4ntas f\u00e5 st\u00f6rre effekt ju l\u00e4ngre de best\u00e5r, enligt ekonomer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Observera att i st\u00e5lsektorn ing\u00e5r enbart SSAB i j\u00e4mf\u00f6relsen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* Noterbart att estimaten i sammanst\u00e4llningen kan komma att \u00e4ndras n\u00e4rmare inp\u00e5 rapportsl\u00e4ppen. Estimaten i tabellen \u00e4r daterade den 7 april.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

* I genomg\u00e5ngen har enbart aktier som bevakas av 3 eller fler analytiker tagits med. Prognoserna avser estimat i rapporterad valuta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sektor\/bolag<\/strong><\/td>Resultatm\u00e5tt<\/strong><\/td>Nuvarande konsensus, Q1 (januari-mars)<\/strong><\/td>F\u00f6r\u00e4ndring mot konsensus 1 dag f\u00f6re senaste del\u00e5rsapport<\/strong><\/td>Antal estimat<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Bank och finans<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Handelsbanken<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>5 909<\/td>1,3%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Nordea<\/td>Nettoresultat(meur)<\/td>1 171<\/td>1,7%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
SEB<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>7 705<\/td>1,2%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Swedbank<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>7 740<\/td>2,8%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
TF Bank<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>144<\/td>-3,6%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Betting<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Evolution Gaming<\/td>Ebitda (meur)<\/td>368<\/td>-6,3%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Finansiella tj\u00e4nster<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Intrum<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>970<\/td>-4,5%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Fordon och komponenter<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Autoliv<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat (usd)<\/td>199<\/td>-15,1%<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Volvo<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>15 138<\/td>-2,7%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
H\u00e4lsov\u00e5rd<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Arjo<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>532<\/td>-0,3%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Astra Zeneca<\/td>Resultat per aktie, justerat (usd)<\/td>2,22<\/td>-0,5%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Sobi<\/td>Ebita<\/td>2 290<\/td>-3,2%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Industrivaror och -tj\u00e4nster<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
ABB<\/td>Ebita (usd)<\/td>1 446<\/td>0,1%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Addtech<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>737<\/td>2,3%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Alfa Laval<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>2 780<\/td>-1,2%<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Assa Abloy<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>5 765<\/td>-6,4%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
Atlas Copco<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>9 478<\/td>-4,1%<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Bravida<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>332<\/td>-6,1%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Epiroc<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 158<\/td>-3,4%<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Gr\u00e4nges<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>406<\/td>-4,2%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Hexagon<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat (meur)<\/td>388<\/td>2,6%<\/td>13<\/td><\/tr>
Indutrade<\/td>Ebita<\/td>1 196<\/td>-0,3%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Inwido<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>121<\/td>-12,0%<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Lagercrantz<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>311<\/td>12,7%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Lifco<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>837<\/td>0,8%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Nibe<\/td>R\u00f6relseresulat<\/td>893<\/td>-2,2%<\/td>10<\/td><\/tr>
Nolato<\/td>Ebita<\/td>270<\/td>4,4%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Sandvik<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>5 509<\/td>-3,6%<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
Securitas<\/td>Ebita<\/td>2 729<\/td>1,6%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
SKF<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>3 099<\/td>-3,5%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
IT<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Ericsson<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>4 592<\/td>-3,8%<\/td>14<\/td><\/tr>
Nokia<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat (meur)<\/td>286<\/td>-15,5%<\/td>16<\/td><\/tr>
Tieto<\/td>Ebita, justerat (meur)<\/td>75<\/td>-7,6%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Kemisk industri<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Hexpol<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>844<\/td>-5,1%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Konsumtionsvaror<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Dometic<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>516<\/td>-4,1%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Elecrolux Professional<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>337<\/td>-3,3%<\/td>4<\/td><\/tr>
Essity<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>4 859<\/td>-6,6%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Mips<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>38<\/td>-6,5%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Mat och dryck<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
AAK<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 264<\/td>2,2%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Axfood<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>783<\/td>-7,8%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Medicinteknik<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Getinge<\/td>Ebita, justerat<\/td>982<\/td>1,5%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
R\u00e5varor<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Boliden<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>2 794<\/td>-6,8%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Skog<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Billerud Korsn\u00e4s<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>1 347<\/td>-10,7%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
Holmen<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>927<\/td>-10,3%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
SCA<\/td>Nettoresultat<\/td>865<\/td>-17,7%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Stora Enso<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat (meur)<\/td>129<\/td>-15,4%<\/td>11<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
St\u00e5l<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
SSAB<\/td>Ebitda, justerat<\/td>2 153<\/td>-13,3%<\/td>12<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
S\u00e4llank\u00f6p<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Electrolux<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>670<\/td>-30,3%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Husqvarna<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>1 724<\/td>-4,2%<\/td>7<\/td><\/tr>
Thule<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat, justerat<\/td>494<\/td>-11,5%<\/td>6<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
Teleoperat\u00f6rer<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
HMS Network<\/td>R\u00f6relseresultat<\/td>166<\/td>9,3%<\/td>5<\/td><\/tr>
Tele2<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>2 955<\/td>-1,7%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
Telia<\/td>Ebitda<\/td>7 756<\/td>-1,2%<\/td>8<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
K\u00e4lla: Factset<\/em><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analytikernas resultatf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar har s\u00e4nkts p\u00e5 bolagen inf\u00f6r Q1-rapporterna sedan f\u00f6rra rapports\u00e4songen. Skillnaderna mellan olika bolag och sektorer \u00e4r dock stora. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40081,"featured_media":82450,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4052],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analys"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x628_bild-150x79.jpg","width":150,"height":79,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/1200x628_bild-150x79.jpg 150w, 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