{"id":84043,"date":"2025-03-06T10:50:23","date_gmt":"2025-03-06T09:50:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=84043"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:44:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:44:08","slug":"forsvarsboomen-driver-saab-till-nya-hojder","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/forsvarsboomen-driver-saab-till-nya-hojder\/","title":{"rendered":"F\u00f6rsvarsboomen driver Saab till nya h\u00f6jder"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>USA:s \u00e4ndrade h\u00e5llning i Rysslands anfallskrig mot Ukraina och det havererade m\u00f6tet mellan Trump och Zelensky i Vita huset \u00e4r den senaste i raden av h\u00e4ndelser som gjort att Saab blivit den b\u00e4st presterande Large Cap-aktien p\u00e5 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/marknaden\">Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen<\/a> i \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c5rets uppg\u00e5ng kan summeras till 61 procent. Backar vi bandet till startskottet den 24 februari 2022 n\u00e4r Ryssland intog Ukraina kan uppg\u00e5ngen summeras till hela 414 procent* sedan dess. B\u00f6rsv\u00e4rdet har nu passerat 200 miljarder kronor och stundtals har dessutom aktien haft en oms\u00e4ttning i paritet med de st\u00f6rsta aktierna p\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvarskoncernens produkter har varit i stadig uppg\u00e5ng** och ytterligare en nyt\u00e4ndning kom i februari i \u00e5r n\u00e4r Europa kan aktivera en undantagsklausul f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsvarsinvesteringar. Detta efter att Ursula von der Leyen slagit fast att Europa befinner sig i en ny krisperiod och att Europa kraftigt m\u00e5ste h\u00f6ja sina f\u00f6rsvarsutgifter fr\u00e5n 2 procent av BNP till 3 procent av BNP, motsvarande hundratals miljarder i \u00f6kade investeringar varje \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Det ledde till att Saab under en enskild dag rusade 15 procent, den tredje b\u00e4sta dag n\u00e5gonsin f\u00f6r bolaget p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En viktig signal g\u00e4llande investerbart kapital kom nyligen n\u00e4r AMF \u00f6ppnade upp f\u00f6r att placera i f\u00f6rsvarsaktier. AMF:s st\u00f6rsta innehav \u00e4r Investor, som i sin tur \u00e4r st\u00f6rsta \u00e4gare i Saab, s\u00e5 d\u00e4rmed finns det redan en indirekt exponering. Pensionsj\u00e4tten motiverar sitt \u00e4ndrade st\u00e4llningstagande med att \u201cden geopolitiska os\u00e4kerheten g\u00f6r f\u00f6rsvarsindustrin till en underliggande investeringstrend\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>F\u00f6rsvarsindustrin kunde ocks\u00e5 potentiellt attrahera mer kapital av att CDU vann det tyska valet, varvid den blivande f\u00f6rbundskanslern Friedrich Merz gick ut med att han snabbt vill godk\u00e4nna upp till 200 miljarder euro i s\u00e4rskilda f\u00f6rsvarsutgifter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detta kom allts\u00e5 drygt en vecka efter att Trump \u00f6ppet visade sitt st\u00f6d f\u00f6r Putin, n\u00e5got som skapade oro i Europa p\u00e5 bred front och ledde till skarpa reaktioner, inte minst fr\u00e5n svenska politiska toppar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Det har blivit tydligt att USA f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntar sig n\u00e5got i geng\u00e4ld f\u00f6r att det ska bli fred i Ukraina &#8211; till exempel naturresurser f\u00f6r 500 miljarder dollar &#8211; ett avtal som \u00e4nnu inte \u00e4r undertecknat efter det n\u00e4mnda havererade m\u00f6tet med Trump och Zelensky i Vita huset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>USA och Ryssland inledde en f\u00f6rsta omg\u00e5ng fredssamtal, men b\u00e5de Ukraina och EU-l\u00e4nderna k\u00e4nner sig marginaliserade i processen. Det f\u00f6rs\u00e4mrade s\u00e4kerhetsl\u00e4get i Europa ledde till ett akut s\u00e4kerhetskonferens i M\u00fcnchen. Danmark, som innehar ordf\u00f6randeskapet i MB8 (Nordic Battle Eight), fick en nyckelroll i de nordiska l\u00e4ndernas hantering av situationen. EU har samtidigt antagit ytterligare ett sanktionspaket mot Ryssland och beslutat om ett nytt st\u00f6dpaket till Ukraina p\u00e5 67 miljarder kronor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Flera europeiska f\u00f6rsvarsaktier har g\u00e5tt starkt den senaste tiden och samtidigt f\u00e5tt m\u00e5nga nya aktie\u00e4gare. Vad g\u00e4ller Saab s\u00e5 kom det uppgifter om att USA planerade att l\u00e4gga in ett veto mot Colombias ink\u00f6p av Jas Gripen, n\u00e5got som dementerades av Saab. Kort d\u00e4refter tecknade Saab ett avtal med den Colombianska flottan avseende stridsledningssystem, sensorer och radar f\u00f6r flottans nya fregatt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Saabs uppg\u00e5ng har d\u00e4rmed varit ett guld\u00e4gg f\u00f6r dess huvud\u00e4gare Investor som kontrollerar drygt 30 procent av kapitalet. Wallenberg foundations \u00e4r dessutom n\u00e4st st\u00f6rsta \u00e4gare med n\u00e4rmare 9 procent av kapitalet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*) Avst\u00e4mningen skedde vid 09.30-tiden den 6 mars.<br>**) F\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningstillv\u00e4xten blev 29 procent i Q4. Ordering\u00e5ngen f\u00f6ll dock markant mot fjol\u00e5ret utifr\u00e5n f\u00e4rre storordrar. Bolaget h\u00f6jde samtidigt utdelningen till 2,00 kronor per aktie (1,60 kronor). Saab upprepade d\u00e5 m\u00e5len f\u00f6r perioden 2023-2027 om en organisk f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningstillv\u00e4xt p\u00e5 18 procent (tidigare 15 procent). Vidare ska tillv\u00e4xten i r\u00f6relseresultatet (ebit) vara h\u00f6gre \u00e4n den organiska f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljningstillv\u00e4xten och en kassafl\u00f6des-konvertering p\u00e5 minst 60 procent, kumulativt f\u00f6r fem\u00e5rsperioden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FOTO: Saab Pressbild<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saab forts\u00e4tter att rida p\u00e5 en geopolitiska os\u00e4kerheten och europeiska upprustningen. F\u00f6rsvarsaktien har blivit den b\u00e4st presterande large cap-aktien p\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen i \u00e5r 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