{"id":83141,"date":"2024-11-07T15:47:59","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T14:47:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=83141"},"modified":"2024-11-07T15:48:00","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T14:48:00","slug":"trump-effekten-amerikanska-finanssektorn-och-kryptovalutor-steg-kraftigt-efter-valet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/trump-effekten-amerikanska-finanssektorn-och-kryptovalutor-steg-kraftigt-efter-valet\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump-effekten: Amerikanska finanssektorn och kryptovalutor steg kraftigt efter valet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Upp\u00e5t p\u00e5 USA-b\u00f6rserna men ned\u00e5t p\u00e5 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/marknaden\">Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen<\/a>. Reaktionerna skilde sig \u00e5t efter att det stod klart att Donald Trump vunnit presidentvalet i USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S&amp;P 500-indexet och Nasdaq steg 2,5 procent respektive 3 procent under onsdagen. \u00c4ven f\u00f6r svensk del var det starkt upp\u00e5t i den inledande handeln men den negativa trenden tog \u00f6ver och OMXS30 st\u00e4ngde ned 0,8 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Som enskild sektor gick finans starkast i USA och handlades upp drygt 6 procent. Under valkampanjen hade Trump gett l\u00f6ften om l\u00e4gre bolagsskatter och mindre regleringar f\u00f6r branschen, vilket f\u00f6rklarar uppg\u00e5ngarna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump har sagt att han vill s\u00e4nka bolagsskatten ytterligare, fr\u00e5n 21 till 15 procent. Dessa l\u00f6ften har varit mer lukrativa f\u00f6r sektorn \u00e4n Kamala Harris planer p\u00e5 att ist\u00e4llet h\u00f6ja bolagsskatten till 28 procent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bland enskilda <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/aktier\/kurser\">aktier<\/a> m\u00e4rks Tesla som rusade 15 procent. Till saken h\u00f6r att Elon Musk f\u00e5tt stor uppm\u00e4rksamhet genom att ha kampanjat \u00e5t Trump i slutspurten inf\u00f6r valet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c4ven <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/marknad\/kryptovalutor\">kryptovalutor<\/a> gick starkt d\u00e4r bitcoin rusade 9 procent och handlades \u00f6ver 75 000 dollar f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Den amerikanska oljeindustrin har ocks\u00e5 sagt kunna dra nytta av Trump som ny president, vilket har sagts kunna gynna b\u00e5de amerikanska och svenska verkstadsbolag, som till exempel Atlas Copco, men samtliga st\u00f6rre industrisektorer p\u00e5 Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen st\u00e4ngde allts\u00e5 p\u00e5 minus f\u00f6r dagen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Med Trump vid makten v\u00e4ntades \u00e4ven f\u00f6rsvarssektorn f\u00e5 ett uppsving, vilket skulle kunna p\u00e5verka svenska f\u00f6rsvarsf\u00f6retag som Saab positivt. S\u00e4rskilt med hans retorik att driva p\u00e5 \u00f6kade f\u00f6rsvarsutgifter fr\u00e5n Nato-l\u00e4nder. Saab sj\u00f6nk dock 1,8 procent, d\u00e5 b\u00e5de Zelensky och Putin varit ute i medier om fredsf\u00f6rhandlingar i konflikten Ryssland-Ukraina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Men det finns ocks\u00e5 sektorer som sades gynnas oavsett vilken av kandidaterna som skulle ta \u00f6ver Vita Huset, n\u00e4mligen infrastruktur och metaller. B\u00e5da kandidaterna vill investera i amerikansk infrastruktur, och svenska aktier som skulle kunna gynnas av detta \u00e4r Skanska och SSAB, med verksamheter kopplade till byggmaterial och metaller som koppar och st\u00e5l. Detta kan i sin tur ge positiva effekter p\u00e5 arbetsmarknaden och aktiemarknaden i stort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Med Trump som vinnare kan politiken bli inflationsdrivande, genom \u00f6kade tullar och r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar. Detta kan g\u00f6ra att Fed kan komma att \u00f6verv\u00e4ga sina planer p\u00e5 r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I sin tur kan Riksbanken p\u00e5verkas, d\u00e5 Sveriges r\u00e4ntepolitik ofta korrelerar, men inte alltid, med den amerikanska centralbanken. Ett s\u00e5dant scenario skulle kunna gynna svenska storbanker. De brukar \u00f6ka sin intj\u00e4ningsf\u00f6rm\u00e5ga i ett h\u00f6gre r\u00e4ntel\u00e4ge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Det ligger i farans riktning att amerikanska importtullar, om de inf\u00f6rs av Trump, skulle kunna p\u00e5verka den europeiska ekonomin negativt, n\u00e5got som Goldman Sachs tog fasta p\u00e5. Investmentbanken s\u00e4nkte utsikterna f\u00f6r den europeiska tillv\u00e4xten 2025 till 0,8 procent fr\u00e5n tidigare 1,1 procent, av just detta sk\u00e4l, tullriskerna.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Skulle Kamala Harris ist\u00e4llet ha vunnit, hade det kunnat gynna flera sektorer, s\u00e4rskilt tekniksektorn eftersom hon \u00e4r v\u00e4l f\u00f6rankrad i Silicon Valley och tidigare har visat st\u00f6d f\u00f6r nya teknologier. Detta skulle skapa en mer gynnsam milj\u00f6 f\u00f6r teknikj\u00e4ttar som Meta och Snap \u00e4n om Trump vunnit, s\u00e4rskilt som Harris driver p\u00e5 f\u00f6r restriktioner mot kinesiska akt\u00f6rer som TikTok, vilket skulle kunna st\u00e4rka de amerikanska konkurrenternas marknadsandelar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ytterligare en bransch som v\u00e4ntades ha f\u00e5tt ett uppsving med Harris som president \u00e4r gr\u00f6n energi. Harris har en historia av att st\u00f6dja klimatinitiativ och en gr\u00f6n agenda, och hon har f\u00f6respr\u00e5kat investeringar, i allt fr\u00e5n elbilar och batterilagring till vindkraftverk och solpaneler. Bolag inom f\u00f6rnybar energi, som Nibe, skulle d\u00e4rmed kunnat ha sett positivt p\u00e5 en Harris-seger. Ist\u00e4llet rasade Nibe mer \u00e4n 7 procent efter Trumps seger. Dagens Industri pekade i en analys p\u00e5 att Joe Bidens klimatpaket kan rivas upp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cannabis-sektorn \u00e4r ytterligare en sektor som skulle kunna gynnas. Harris har tidigare uttryckt st\u00f6d f\u00f6r avkriminalisering av cannabis. Reformer p\u00e5 omr\u00e5det skulle d\u00e4rf\u00f6r kunna stimulera tillv\u00e4xten f\u00f6r b\u00e5de amerikanska cannabisbolag och internationella akt\u00f6rer. Flera aktier i sektorn rasade dock efter att v\u00e4ljare i amerikanska delstaten Florida (r\u00f6stade republikanskt i presidentvalet) avvisat ett lagf\u00f6rslag som skulle legaliserat anv\u00e4ndandet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En Harris-seger skulle ist\u00e4llet kunnat ha lett till en mer stabil, progressiv politik, som kan bidra till fortsatt l\u00e5ga r\u00e4ntor. Det skulle kunna gynna fastigheter, s\u00e4rskilt om marknadsr\u00e4ntorna forts\u00e4tter att sjunka. Efter Trumps valseger steg den l\u00e5nga amerikanska r\u00e4ntan, tio\u00e5ringen, med 3,7 procent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Upp\u00e5t i USA men ned\u00e5t i Sverige. Reaktionerna skilde sig \u00e5t dagen efter att det stod klart att Donald Trump vunnit presidentvalet i USA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40081,"featured_media":83143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/visuals-vnfyiXo0BR8-unsplash-150x105.jpg","width":150,"height":105,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/visuals-vnfyiXo0BR8-unsplash-150x105.jpg 150w, 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