{"id":82820,"date":"2024-10-03T10:58:17","date_gmt":"2024-10-03T08:58:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=82820"},"modified":"2026-03-10T16:40:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T15:40:39","slug":"darfor-fortsatter-borsen-upp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/darfor-fortsatter-borsen-upp\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00e4rf\u00f6r forts\u00e4tter b\u00f6rsen upp"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Vi har f\u00e5tt dystra makrosiffror och vinstvarningar fr\u00e5n konjunkturk\u00e4nsliga bolag, samtidigt som den geopolitiska oron eskalerar. \u00c4nd\u00e5 forts\u00e4tter b\u00f6rsen<\/a> upp. Hur kommer det sig?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det blir allt tydligare att vi befinner oss i ett sv\u00e5rt makroekonomiskt l\u00e4ge. Senast idag kom siffror som visar en \u00f6verraskande bred och tydlig nedg\u00e5ng i tj\u00e4nstesektorn, och det \u00e4r bara en i raden av makroindikatorer som visar p\u00e5 ett dystert l\u00e4ge. Och det inte bara i Sverige, utan kanske s\u00e4rskilt ute i Europa, d\u00e4r inte minst bilindustrin g\u00e5r genom ett st\u00e5lbad, men ocks\u00e5 i Kina och USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geopolitisk oro<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Vi har ocks\u00e5 en ny v\u00e5g av geopolitisk oro. Rysslands krig i Ukraina, sp\u00e4nningarna kring Taiwan, Kinas n\u00e4rmande till Ryssland, ett presidentval i USA d\u00e4r en protektionistisktl lagd presidentkandidat har goda m\u00f6jligheter att vinna samt sp\u00e4nningarna i Mellan\u00f6stern, d\u00e4r Iran i tisdags avfyrade 200 robotar mot Israel. P\u00e5 just den senaste h\u00e4ndelsen \u00e4r marknadsreaktionerna m\u00e5ttliga, men det finns helt klart flera olika geopolitiska orosmoln som ligger och mullrar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trots dessa orosmoln \u00e5ngar b\u00f6rsen p\u00e5 och sl\u00e5r nya rekord. Det g\u00f6r l\u00e4get sp\u00e4nt inf\u00f6r den kommande rapports\u00e4songen. Ribban ligger h\u00f6gt, samtidigt som just konjunkturk\u00e4nsliga bolag b\u00f6r k\u00e4nna av den s\u00e4mre konjunkturen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fram\u00e5tblickande b\u00f6rs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 varf\u00f6r forts\u00e4tter b\u00f6rsen att stiga?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det handlar om att b\u00f6rsen blickar fram\u00e5t. Investerare vet att det \u00e4r dystert h\u00e4r och nu, och rapporterna f\u00f6r det tredje kvartalet v\u00e4ntas bli svaga. Men just nu s\u00e4tter marknaden alla dystra nyheter i ett st\u00f6rre och mer l\u00e5ngsiktigt perspektiv, d\u00e4r man snarare blickar mot de kraftiga r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar som v\u00e4ntas globalt, och framf\u00f6r allt av den amerikanska centralbanken. Konsumenter f\u00e5r mer pengar i fickorna, och kan b\u00f6rja spendera igen. Dessutom v\u00e4ntas konjunkturen repa sig redan under n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. Framf\u00f6r allt \u00e4r den amerikanska konjunkturen viktig f\u00f6r b\u00f6rshum\u00f6ret, och h\u00e4r v\u00e4ntas fortfarande en s\u00e5 kallad mjuklandning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bra kombination<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar och en mjuklandning i USA, det \u00e4r en cocktail som b\u00f6rsen gillar och som verkar \u00f6verskugga dystra nyheter h\u00e4r och nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00e4ttre tider kommer helt enkelt. Det kan faktiskt vara s\u00e5 att \u00e4ven om rapporterna fr\u00e5n svenska b\u00f6rsbolag f\u00f6r tredje kvartalet visar p\u00e5 svaga siffror s\u00e5 kan fokus hamna p\u00e5 fram\u00e5tblickande faktorer. Anas ljuset i tunneln? M\u00e5nga av v\u00e5ra exportbolag kommer exempelvis eventuellt kunna dra nytta av stora kinesiska stimulanser fram\u00f6ver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Som sparare \u00e4r det bra att k\u00e4nna till hur marknaden fungerar, f\u00f6r att b\u00e4ttre f\u00f6rst\u00e5 vissa reaktioner som kan te sig sv\u00e5rf\u00f6rklarliga. Marknaden blickar helt enkelt alltid fram\u00e5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e5ngsiktigt perspektiv<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Som sparare g\u00e4ller det att alltid f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka ha det mer l\u00e5ngsiktiga perspektivet p\u00e5 sina investeringar, oavsett om negativa nyheter tornar upp sig. Det visar inte minst frossan i b\u00f6rjan av augusti, d\u00e4r b\u00f6rsen ju snabbt \u00e5terh\u00e4mtade raset. Vi l\u00e4r oss varje g\u00e5ng att den b\u00e4sta strategin alltid \u00e4r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka beh\u00e5lla lugnet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e4remot kan det vara intressant att h\u00e5lla koll p\u00e5 vilka sektorer som kanske gynnas av de faktorer vi ser framf\u00f6r oss. Vi har r\u00e4ntek\u00e4nsliga sektorer som kommer att f\u00e5 det l\u00e4ttare fram\u00f6ver, och vi har exempelvis sektorer som kommer att gynnas av en vinst f\u00f6r Trump i presidentvalet (olja, f\u00f6rsvar, l\u00e4kemedel, finans bl a).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/Frida<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vi har f\u00e5tt dystra makrosiffror och vinstvarningar fr\u00e5n konjunkturk\u00e4nsliga bolag, samtidigt som den geopolitiska oron eskalerar. \u00c4nd\u00e5 forts\u00e4tter b\u00f6rsen upp. Hur kommer det sig? Det blir allt tydligare att vi befinner oss i ett sv\u00e5rt makroekonomiskt l\u00e4ge. Senast idag kom siffror som visar en \u00f6verraskande bred och tydlig nedg\u00e5ng i tj\u00e4nstesektorn, och det \u00e4r bara […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40184,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-620x222.png 620w, 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