{"id":82421,"date":"2024-09-02T15:22:57","date_gmt":"2024-09-02T13:22:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=82421"},"modified":"2024-09-02T15:22:58","modified_gmt":"2024-09-02T13:22:58","slug":"gor-dig-redo-for-borshosten-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/gor-dig-redo-for-borshosten-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00f6r dig redo f\u00f6r b\u00f6rsh\u00f6sten 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Denna b\u00f6rsh\u00f6st finns det en hel del att h\u00e5lla koll p\u00e5, f\u00f6r dig som vill ha en v\u00e4l f\u00f6rberedd portf\u00f6lj. Jag g\u00e5r h\u00e4r igenom n\u00e5gra av de viktigaste delarna och f\u00f6rklarar hur du kan t\u00e4nka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor att v\u00e4nta<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Riksbanken har hittills s\u00e4nkt r\u00e4ntan tv\u00e5 g\u00e5nger i \u00e5r, och man flaggar f\u00f6r ytterligare s\u00e4nkningar. Det \u00e4r inte om\u00f6jligt att denna trend forts\u00e4tter in i 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anledningen \u00e4r en kraftigt d\u00e4mpad inflation globalt, och f\u00f6r oss i Sverige en s\u00e5 l\u00e5g inflation att det redan diskuteras risk f\u00f6r deflation<\/em>. Liknande trender ser vi i \u00f6vriga Europa d\u00e4r l\u00e4gre inflation ocks\u00e5 \u00f6kar sannolikheten f\u00f6r l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det finns f\u00f6rst\u00e5s flera sektorer som kan p\u00e5verkas positivt av s\u00e4nkta r\u00e4ntor. Fastighetsbolagen \u00e4r ett s\u00e5dant exempel och d\u00e4r ser vi redan en rej\u00e4l uppg\u00e5ng i \u00e5r. Just fastigheter gynnas dubbelt, utifr\u00e5n att de dels har l\u00e5n som blir billigare att \u201domfinansiera\u201d vid en l\u00e4gre r\u00e4nta, dels f\u00f6r att fastigheternas priser tenderar att \u00f6ka vid l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ett annat exempel \u00e4r serief\u00f6rv\u00e4rvare som med l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor l\u00e4ttare och billigare kan finansiera nya f\u00f6rv\u00e4rv. Ja, kort sagt f\u00e5r de flesta branscher som missgynnades av h\u00f6ga r\u00e4ntor ett betydligt b\u00e4ttre l\u00e4ge nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e5nga obligationer<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Ett annat s\u00e4tt att dra nytta av r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningarna kan vara l\u00e5nga obligationer. Dessa kommer du enklast \u00e5t via s\u00e5 kallade obligationsfonder, d\u00e4r du ocks\u00e5 f\u00e5r riskspridning till en l\u00e5g avgift. L\u00e5nga obligationer har haft en bra utveckling och forts\u00e4tter r\u00e4ntorna att pressas kan de gynnas \u00e4ven framgent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konsumentbolagen<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e5got mer som gynnas vid l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor \u00e4r konsumentbolag, speciellt h\u00e4r i Sverige. L\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor ger l\u00e4gre r\u00e4nteutgifter p\u00e5 bol\u00e5n och mer pengar att konsumera f\u00f6r. D\u00e5 gynnas bolagen med stor exponering mot svensk konsumtion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stundande val i USA<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det v\u00e4ntar ett presidentval i USA. Upptakten har varit st\u00f6kig och s\u00e5 l\u00e4r det f\u00f6rbli. Nyligen rusade Vitrolife-aktien p\u00e5 en tweet fr\u00e5n Donald Trump och fler s\u00e5dana h\u00e4ndelser kan s\u00e4kerligen komma att intr\u00e4ffa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e5got som ofta blir en valfr\u00e5ga \u00e4r l\u00e4kemedelspriserna d\u00e4r politikerna t\u00e4vlar om vem som kan se till att priserna minskar mest. Uttalanden p\u00e5 detta omr\u00e5de brukar s\u00e4nka de stora l\u00e4kemedelsbolagen d\u00e5 de f\u00e5r en stor del av sina int\u00e4kter fr\u00e5n just USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det man dock<\/em> ska ha med sig \u00e4r att vall\u00f6ften om l\u00e4gre l\u00e4kemedelspriser s\u00e4llan infrias. Jag tog ut en graf som visar just detta f\u00f6r svensk-brittiska l\u00e4kemedelsbolaget AstraZeneca: Nedg\u00e5ngar strax innan val, men sedan v\u00e4nder aktien.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Andra bolag som kan p\u00e5verkas mycket av valet \u00e4r energibolag, d\u00e4r b\u00e5de bolagen som fokuserar p\u00e5 f\u00f6rnyelsebar energi och de klassiska olje- och gasbolagen alla hoppas p\u00e5 ett f\u00f6r dem s\u00e5 f\u00f6rdelaktigt valresultat som m\u00f6jligt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI-trenden<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bland de st\u00f6rsta teknikbolagen p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen<\/a> finns stora f\u00f6rhoppningar kring AI, och \u00e4nnu har inte marknaden blivit besviken. Se bara p\u00e5 Nvidia; bolaget har med sina avancerade grafikkort en extremt stor exponering mot AI. Kunderna m\u00e5ste ha dem, \u00e4ven<\/em> om de kostar skjortan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e4remot b\u00f6rjar irritationen sippra ut bland investerarkollektivet, det ser vi bland annat i Q2-rapporterna som kom i somras. Bara Google (Alphabet) spenderade 13 miljarder dollar i CAPEX senaste kvartalet och d\u00e4r handlar det fr\u00e4mst om datacenter och infrastruktur f\u00f6r AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c4nnu finns inget som tyder p\u00e5 att AI-trenden skulle sjunga p\u00e5 sin sista vers, och det finns t\u00e5lamod. Men v\u00e4nder sentimentet kan samma bolag som gynnats av AI-trenden bli de stora f\u00f6rlorarna p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen senare i \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/Ara Mustafa, investeringscoach Nordnet<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kom ih\u00e5g att investeringar alltid inneb\u00e4r en risk. Texten ovan \u00e4r inte en investeringsrekommendation, jag f\u00f6rs\u00f6ker bara med exempel f\u00f6rklara hur sektorer kan p\u00e5verkas av f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i v\u00e5r omv\u00e4rld. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Denna b\u00f6rsh\u00f6st finns det en hel del att h\u00e5lla koll p\u00e5, f\u00f6r dig som vill ha en v\u00e4l f\u00f6rberedd portf\u00f6lj. Jag g\u00e5r h\u00e4r igenom n\u00e5gra av de viktigaste delarna och f\u00f6rklarar hur du kan t\u00e4nka. L\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor att v\u00e4nta Riksbanken har hittills s\u00e4nkt r\u00e4ntan tv\u00e5 g\u00e5nger i \u00e5r, och man flaggar f\u00f6r ytterligare s\u00e4nkningar. Det […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68573,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Street-2-150x54.jpg","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Street-2-150x54.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Street-2-620x222.jpg 620w, 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