{"id":80138,"date":"2024-03-12T16:09:53","date_gmt":"2024-03-12T15:09:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=80138"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:21:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:21:42","slug":"borsen-pa-ny-dromgrans-kan-det-fortsatta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/borsen-pa-ny-dromgrans-kan-det-fortsatta\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00f6rsen p\u00e5 ny dr\u00f6mniv\u00e5 – kan det forts\u00e4tta?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

B\u00f6rsen<\/a> har \u00e5ngat p\u00e5 i s\u00e4llan sk\u00e5dad fart och i veckan n\u00e5dde OMXS30 f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen \u00f6ver 2500. Kan uppg\u00e5ngen forts\u00e4tta igen och hur ska man resonera som sparare? \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All time high-noteringarna har st\u00e5tt som sp\u00f6n i backen och allt fr\u00e5n aktier<\/a> till bitcoin och guld har g\u00e5tt urstarkt sett b\u00e5de sedan \u00e5rsskiftet och sedan b\u00f6rsen bottnade i oktober 2023. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Index i \u00e5r: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Utveckling f\u00f6r tio stora land- och regionindex i \u00e5r: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nikkei225: 15,9 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMX Copenhagen: 15 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Italy: 10,3 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

S&P 500: 7,3 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

CAC 40: 6,5 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

DAX: 6,3 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMX Stockholm PI: 4,3 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Europe: 3,9 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Spain: 2,7 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

FTSE: 0 % \u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Index 1 \u00e5r: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tittar vi ist\u00e4llet p\u00e5 utvecklingen sett p\u00e5 1 \u00e5r f\u00e5ngar vi ocks\u00e5 in den massiva v\u00e4ndningen och uppg\u00e5ngen under h\u00f6sten 2023. Ocks\u00e5 om vi tittar p\u00e5 denna period \u00e4r det den japanska b\u00f6rsen som g\u00e5tt starkast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nikkei225: 37,9 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

S&P 500: 32,5 %<\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMX Copenhagen: 29 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Italy: 22,6 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

DAX: 15,4 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMX Stockholm 30: 14 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Europe: 13,9 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMX Stockholm PI: 13 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

CAC 40: 11 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dow Jones Spain: 11 % <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smala uppg\u00e5ngar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Samtidigt har uppg\u00e5ngen i m\u00e5nga fall inte varit s\u00e4rskilt bred. I USA har techj\u00e4ttarna som bekant dragit en mycket stor del av uppg\u00e5ngen, \u00e4ven om uppg\u00e5ngen breddats de senaste m\u00e5naderna vilket \u00e4r ett styrketecken. \u00c4ven de mindre bolagen b\u00f6r ju gynnas av det faktum att amerikansk ekonomi tycks st\u00e5 inf\u00f6r en mjuklandning, och av att en r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkning \u00e4r n\u00e4sta steg f\u00f6r Fed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00e4r i Sverige ser vi fortfarande att j\u00e4ttarna drar en stor del av lasset. OMX Stockholm Financials \u00e4r upp med 23 procent p\u00e5 ett \u00e5r och OMX Stockholm Industrials med 21 procent. Large cap \u00e4r upp med 14 procent, medan Small cap rentav \u00e4r ned med 15 procent p\u00e5 ett \u00e5r. Den tendensen var mycket tydlig under fjol\u00e5ret men har fortsatt sedan \u00e5rsskiftet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vi ser dock en h\u00f6g riskaptit just nu, som f\u00f6rst\u00e5s s\u00e5 sm\u00e5ningom ocks\u00e5 kan komma att spilla \u00f6ver p\u00e5 de mindre bolagen. F\u00f6rutsatt att det positiva sentimentet forts\u00e4tter, det vill s\u00e4ga. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hur resonera nu?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5 hur ska man d\u00e5 resonera som sparare i det h\u00e4r l\u00e4get? Det blir alltid lite darrigt n\u00e4r man har en mycket kraftig uppg\u00e5ng bakom sig, och det kan k\u00e4nnas frestande att ta hem vinster. Efter s\u00e5 kraftiga uppg\u00e5ngar b\u00f6r man vara beredd p\u00e5 en andh\u00e4mtning och en paus. Det \u00e4r normalt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Med det sagt kan man \u00e4nd\u00e5 p\u00e5minna sig om vilka grundpremisser b\u00f6rsen har nu. Vi har ett inflationsfall och vi g\u00e5r onekligen mot ett l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntel\u00e4ge, \u00e4ven om f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar fr\u00e5n Fed var lite v\u00e4l h\u00f6ga i b\u00f6rjan av \u00e5ret. Marknaden f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntar sig nu med 60 procents sannolikhet en f\u00f6rsta s\u00e4nkning med 25 punkter i juni fr\u00e5n Fed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konjunkturm\u00e4ssigt ser USA ut att g\u00e5 mot en mjuklandning och \u00e4ven p\u00e5 flera andra marknader verkar konjunkturen ha n\u00e5tt botten och man b\u00f6rjar se ljusningar. Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r tv\u00e5 viktiga faktorer, och man vill g\u00e4rna se att de samverkar p\u00e5 r\u00e4tt s\u00e4tt. Helst vill vi ju ha r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar f\u00f6r att inflationen kommit ned som \u201dplanerat\u201d, inte f\u00f6r att man i panik m\u00e5ste s\u00e4nka f\u00f6r att ekonomin \u00e4r i kris konjunkturm\u00e4ssigt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/Frida<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u00f6rsen har \u00e5ngat p\u00e5 i s\u00e4llan sk\u00e5dad fart och i veckan n\u00e5dde OMXS30 f\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen \u00f6ver 2500. Kan uppg\u00e5ngen forts\u00e4tta igen och hur ska man resonera som sparare? \u00a0 All time high-noteringarna har st\u00e5tt som sp\u00f6n i backen och allt fr\u00e5n aktier till bitcoin och guld har g\u00e5tt urstarkt sett b\u00e5de sedan \u00e5rsskiftet och […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40184,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-80138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/frida1-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/frida1-150x54.png 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/frida1-620x222.png 620w, 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