{"id":78850,"date":"2023-12-19T20:52:20","date_gmt":"2023-12-19T19:52:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=78850"},"modified":"2026-03-10T17:19:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T16:19:36","slug":"hur-blir-borsaret-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/hur-blir-borsaret-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Hur blir b\u00f6rs\u00e5ret 2024?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Det v\u00e4rsta b\u00f6r vara bakom oss. S\u00e5 kan utsikterna inf\u00f6r 2024 sammanfattas. Men det g\u00e4ller f\u00f6rst\u00e5s att marknaden \u00e4nnu inte tagit ut f\u00f6r mycket i f\u00f6rskott. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det v\u00e4rsta i termer av r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar \u00e4r bakom oss. Om n\u00e5got \u00e4r det l\u00e4gre<\/em> r\u00e4ntor vi har att se fram emot, vilket kan komma som en l\u00e4ttnad f\u00f6r exempelvis alla bol\u00e5netagare. F\u00f6r bara n\u00e5gra veckor sedan var de flesta bed\u00f6mare eniga om att en f\u00f6rsta r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkning kan komma eventuellt i mitten av 2024. Nu tror allt fler att den f\u00f6rsta s\u00e4nkning kan komma redan vid m\u00f6tet den 27 mars. \u00c4ven vad g\u00e4ller den amerikanska centralbanken har f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna p\u00e5 r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar \u00f6kat. Det har drivit upp b\u00f6rsen<\/a> rej\u00e4lt den senaste tiden. B\u00f6rsen v\u00e4nde upp redan den 28 oktober som en f\u00f6ljd av f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar p\u00e5 att r\u00e4ntetoppen \u00e4r n\u00e5dd och s\u00e4nkningarna snart \u00e4r h\u00e4r. Om det \u00e4r en definitiv v\u00e4ndning l\u00e5ter jag vara osagt, men det \u00e4r ett tecken p\u00e5 att det finns en f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntan om att det v\u00e4rsta n\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller inflation och r\u00e4nteuppg\u00e5ng \u00e4r bakom oss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Har marknaden tagit ut f\u00f6r mycket?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6ljaktligen har r\u00e4ntek\u00e4nsligt g\u00e5tt som t\u00e5get p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen. Sm\u00e5bolag, teknik och fastigheter har lett b\u00f6rsuppg\u00e5ngen, och utsikterna f\u00f6r att dessa sektorer forts\u00e4tter att g\u00e5 bra i ett l\u00e4ge d\u00e4r r\u00e4ntorna g\u00e5r ned \u00e4r goda. 2024 kan bli \u00e5ret d\u00e5 nedpressade sm\u00e5bolag g\u00f6r n\u00e5got av en comeback, liksom fastighetsbolag. Det g\u00e4ller m\u00f6jligen inte alla \u2013 agnarna l\u00e4r skilja sig fr\u00e5n vetet vad g\u00e4ller tillv\u00e4xtbolag och fastighetsbolag d\u00e4r en del till och med kan komma ut b\u00e4ttre p\u00e5 andra sidan. Samtidigt vill det till att marknaden inte redan nu har sprungit f\u00f6r fort och tagit ut f\u00f6r mycket i f\u00f6rskott. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hur djup blir l\u00e5gkonjunkturen?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

F\u00e5 tror p\u00e5 centralbankernas ord om h\u00f6g r\u00e4nta under en l\u00e4ngre tid, men hur snabba blir egentligen r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningarna? Det \u00e4r ju faktiskt n\u00e5got som beror p\u00e5 konjunkturen. Om vi v\u00e4ntar oss v\u00e4ldigt snabba r\u00e4ntenedg\u00e5ngar, d\u00e5 borde vi ju \u00e4ven v\u00e4nta oss en djup konjunkturnedg\u00e5ng? Det \u00e4r dock inte riktigt k\u00e4nslan. F\u00f6r samtidigt ser vi att stora verkstadsbj\u00e4ssar sl\u00e5r kursrekord. Det tyder p\u00e5 en f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntan om att verkstadsbolagen ska dansa igenom den s\u00e4mre konjunkturen. H\u00e4r kan det m\u00f6jligen finnas risk f\u00f6r besvikelser, och det \u00e5terst\u00e5r att se i kommande rapportperioder hur mycket verkstadsbolagens ordering\u00e5ngar och vinster faktiskt p\u00e5verkas av det l\u00e4ge b\u00e5de Sveriges och omv\u00e4rldens ekonomi befinner sig i. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e4ntenettotoppen n\u00e5dd?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Storbankerna har haft ett ypperligt 2023, med \u00f6kade r\u00e4ntor och \u00e4nnu inte benh\u00e5rda krav fr\u00e5n sparare att f\u00e5 r\u00e4nta p\u00e5 sina sparkonton. Men r\u00e4ntenettotoppen b\u00f6r ha passerats. Dels f\u00f6r att r\u00e4ntetoppen \u00e4r n\u00e5dd, dels f\u00f6r att konkurrensen om spararna b\u00f6r \u00f6ka och d\u00e5 b\u00f6r storbankerna beh\u00f6va agera med lite b\u00e4ttre r\u00e4ntor p\u00e5 inl\u00e5ningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hur som helst – jag \u00f6nskar dig ett gott nytt b\u00f6rs\u00e5r 2024!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/Frida<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Det v\u00e4rsta b\u00f6r vara bakom oss. S\u00e5 kan utsikterna inf\u00f6r 2024 sammanfattas. Men det g\u00e4ller f\u00f6rst\u00e5s att marknaden \u00e4nnu inte tagit ut f\u00f6r mycket i f\u00f6rskott. Det v\u00e4rsta i termer av r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar \u00e4r bakom oss. Om n\u00e5got \u00e4r det l\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor vi har att se fram emot, vilket kan komma som en l\u00e4ttnad f\u00f6r exempelvis […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40184,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78850","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-620x222.png 620w, 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