{"id":78185,"date":"2023-11-04T09:46:35","date_gmt":"2023-11-04T08:46:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=78185"},"modified":"2023-11-04T09:46:36","modified_gmt":"2023-11-04T08:46:36","slug":"bratt-det-kan-tala-for-att-borsvandningen-ar-har","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/bratt-det-kan-tala-for-att-borsvandningen-ar-har\/","title":{"rendered":"Bratt: Det kan tala f\u00f6r att b\u00f6rsv\u00e4ndningen \u00e4r h\u00e4r"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

L\u00e5ngr\u00e4ntorna har stigit kraftigt, kriget mellan Israel och Hamas rasar och tillv\u00e4xten i ekonomin sjunker snabbt. Men samtidigt som centralbankerna upprepar mantrat att r\u00e4ntan kommer beh\u00f6va vara h\u00f6g l\u00e4nge s\u00e5 tycks r\u00e4ntetoppen vara n\u00e5dd. H\u00e4r \u00e4r tecknen som talar f\u00f6r att b\u00f6rsv\u00e4ndningen kanske \u00e4r h\u00e4r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6stlovsveckan avslutades i dur. Den amerikanska centralbanken l\u00e4mnade som v\u00e4ntat r\u00e4ntan of\u00f6r\u00e4ndrad och det st\u00e4rkte marknadens uppfattning att r\u00e4ntetoppen nu \u00e4r n\u00e5dd. N\u00e4r de av marknaden s\u00e5 efterl\u00e4ngtade r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningarna kommer vet vi inte \u00e4n \u2013 Fed l\u00e4mnar en prognos, sin s\u00e5 kallade \u201ddot plot\u201d, f\u00f6rst vid m\u00f6tet i december \u2013 men Feds nuvarande prognos anger tv\u00e5 r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar under n\u00e4sta \u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningarna bakom oss<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Den amerikanska centralbanken har klargjort att man \u00e4mnar h\u00e5lla r\u00e4ntan h\u00f6g under en l\u00e4ngre tid. \u00c5 andra sidan har man knappast n\u00e5gra incitament att b\u00f6rja flagga f\u00f6r r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar redan nu, f\u00f6r d\u00e5 springer marknaden f\u00f6re och effekten av redan gjorde r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningar riskerar att avta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bara det faktum att vi har r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jningarna bakom oss fick marknaden p\u00e5 gott hum\u00f6r efter Feds besked, och kanske r\u00e4cker det ocks\u00e5 f\u00f6r att v\u00e4nda det tidigare under h\u00f6sten s\u00e5 dystra hum\u00f6ret.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deppig h\u00f6st<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6r h\u00f6sten har varit s\u00e5 deppig att bara de pessimistiska tong\u00e5ngarna i sig faktiskt kan skvallra om att b\u00f6rsv\u00e4ndningen, eller \u00e5tminstone ljuset i tunneln, inte m\u00e5ste vara s\u00e5 l\u00e5ngt borta. En del aktieras har n\u00e4stan k\u00e4nnts frikopplade fr\u00e5n bolagens verksamheter i vissa fall. I rapportperioden s\u00e5g vi stabila och l\u00f6nsamma bolag rapportera godk\u00e4nda resultat \u2013 och \u00e5kte \u00e4nd\u00e5 p\u00e5 storstryk. Det skulle faktiskt kunna vara tecken p\u00e5 bottenk\u00e4nning p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det b\u00f6r ocks\u00e5 vara s\u00e5 att de bolag som har straffats mycket kraftigt, vilket under \u00e5ret framf\u00f6r allt varit mindre och medelstora s\u00e5dana, b\u00f6r vara f\u00f6rst ut i v\u00e4ndningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strukturella trender<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En annan drivkraft f\u00f6r en b\u00f6rs som kan h\u00e5llas uppe p\u00e5 b\u00e4ttre hum\u00f6r \u00e4r de strukturella megatrender som trots allt alltj\u00e4mt fortg\u00e5r och som kr\u00e4ver stora investeringar. Hit h\u00f6r energiomst\u00e4llningen och elektrifieringen, vilken varit p\u00e5 g\u00e5ng l\u00e4nge, men sedan framf\u00f6r allt pandemin finns \u00e4nnu en trend: deglobaliseringen. Insikten om att det kan vara riskfyllt att ha leverant\u00f6rer p\u00e5 andra sidan jordklotet, ur ett logistiskt men ocks\u00e5 ibland politiskt perspektiv. Det h\u00e4r kan gynna regionala industribolag, svenska och nordiska.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Om den definitiva v\u00e4ndningen p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen \u00e4r h\u00e4r \u00e5terst\u00e5r att se. Men med ett slut p\u00e5 r\u00e4nteh\u00f6jarracet \u00e4ndras f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningarna. \u00c4ven om l\u00e5gkonjunkturen och deppiga tider \u00e4r h\u00e4r ur ett perspektiv ska vi komma ih\u00e5g: b\u00f6rsen \u00e4r alltid fram\u00e5tblickande. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/Frida<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u00e5ngr\u00e4ntorna har stigit kraftigt, kriget mellan Israel och Hamas rasar och tillv\u00e4xten i ekonomin sjunker snabbt. Men samtidigt som centralbankerna upprepar mantrat att r\u00e4ntan kommer beh\u00f6va vara h\u00f6g l\u00e4nge s\u00e5 tycks r\u00e4ntetoppen vara n\u00e5dd. H\u00e4r \u00e4r tecknen som talar f\u00f6r att b\u00f6rsv\u00e4ndningen kanske \u00e4r h\u00e4r. H\u00f6stlovsveckan avslutades i dur. Den amerikanska centralbanken l\u00e4mnade som v\u00e4ntat […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40184,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-78185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Frida-NFN-01-1200x430-1-150x54.png 150w, 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