{"id":76881,"date":"2023-08-01T18:40:08","date_gmt":"2023-08-01T16:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=76881"},"modified":"2026-03-10T16:39:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T15:39:04","slug":"vad-hander-pa-borsen-i-augusti-och-vad-har-hant-under-din-semester","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/vad-hander-pa-borsen-i-augusti-och-vad-har-hant-under-din-semester\/","title":{"rendered":"Vad h\u00e4nder p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen i augusti?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Semesterveckorna b\u00f6rjar lida mot sitt slut f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga. Oavsett om du har b\u00f6rjat jobba, eller fortfarande \u00e4r ledig, hoppas jag att sommaren varit h\u00e4rlig. Men vad har egentligen h\u00e4nt p\u00e5 de finansiella marknaderna under den h\u00e4r perioden? Och vad har vi att se fram emot?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen<\/h2>\n\n\n
\n
\"\"
bilden \u00e4r klickbar<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Sedan 16 juni har b\u00f6rsen handlats ganska s\u00e5 sidledes. F\u00f6rutom en period i slutet p\u00e5 mars, s\u00e5 har OMXSPI handlats i en ganska smal range och i princip rakt sidedes hela \u00e5ret. Rapports\u00e4songen f\u00f6r andra kvartalet 2023 har satt ig\u00e5ng och m\u00e5nga bolag har redan l\u00e4mnat sina rapporter. De flesta bolag p\u00e5 OMXS30 har l\u00e4mnat rapporter, kvarst\u00e5r g\u00f6r endast Nibe som sl\u00e4pper rapport den 17 augusti. Bolagen som rapporterade en b\u00e4ttre vinst per aktie \u00e4n v\u00e4ntat steg i snitt med 1.1% f\u00f6ljande tv\u00e5 dagar efter rapport. Bolagen som i sin tur missade f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna f\u00f6r vinst per aktie sj\u00f6nk i snitt med 4.1% under samma period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I snitt f\u00f6r bolagen p\u00e5 OMXS30 som rapporterat har analytikerna justerat ner vinst per aktie-f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna f\u00f6r n\u00e4sta kvartal med 2%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

En hel del rapporter kvarst\u00e5r dock, \u00e4ven fast m\u00e5nga av de st\u00f6rre bolagen sl\u00e4ppt sina rappoter. Lite senare i blogginl\u00e4gget g\u00e5r vi igenom rapportperioden f\u00f6r augusti m\u00e5nad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amerikanska b\u00f6rsen<\/h2>\n\n\n
\n
\"\"
bilden \u00e4r klickbar<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

I USA har det varit klart mer fart p\u00e5 b\u00f6rsen. SP500 har stigit runt 4% och Nasdaq runt 4.5% sedan mitten av juli m\u00e5nad. M\u00e5nga rapporter \u00e4r avklarade \u00e4ven i USA. Exempelvis Tesla som rapporterade en EPS p\u00e5 $0.91 mot v\u00e4ntade $0.80, Netflix $3.29 mot v\u00e4ntade $2.86, Microsoft $2.69 mot v\u00e4ntade $2.55, Google $1.44 mot v\u00e4ntade $1.34, samtliga bolag allts\u00e5 b\u00e4ttre \u00e4n f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kvarst\u00e5r g\u00f6r ett par bolag som exempelvis Apple och Amazon som rapporterar nu p\u00e5 torsdag. Apple v\u00e4ntas rapportera en oms\u00e4ttning om $81,8 miljarder och en vinst per aktie om $1.19. Amazon v\u00e4ntas rapportera en oms\u00e4ttning om $131,3 miljarder och en vinst per aktie om $0.34.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u00e4ntor<\/h2>\n\n\n
\n
\"\"
bilden \u00e4r klickbar<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

De amerikanska r\u00e4ntorna har kl\u00e4ttrat upp n\u00e5got sedan mitten av juni, 10-\u00e5rsr\u00e4ntan har stigit med runt 20 punkter och 2-\u00e5rsr\u00e4ntan med runt 15 punkter. I Sverige har r\u00e4ntan inte r\u00f6rt sig riktigt lika mycket, en \u00f6kning om 3 punkter f\u00f6r 10-\u00e5rsr\u00e4ntan och runt 5 punkter f\u00f6r 2-\u00e5rsr\u00e4ntan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under juli m\u00e5nad fick vi senaste r\u00e4ntebeskeden fr\u00e5n b\u00e5de ECB och FED. B\u00e5da centralbankerna valde att h\u00f6ja, som v\u00e4ntat, med 25 punkter. Styrr\u00e4ntan fr\u00e5n FED ligger just nu p\u00e5 5.25% – 5.50%, och ECB:s styrr\u00e4nta p\u00e5 3.75%. Riksbanken h\u00f6jde r\u00e4ntan senast i slutet av juli med 25 punkter till 3.75%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det \u00e4r mycket diskussioner kring om FED ska h\u00f6ja r\u00e4ntan ytterligare ett sn\u00e4pp eller ej. R\u00e4ntemarknaden s\u00e4tter i skrivande stund sannolikheten f\u00f6r en h\u00f6jning vid n\u00e4sta FED-m\u00f6te till 20%. F\u00f6r ECB’s del ser det ut att kunna bli ytterligare en h\u00f6jning varvid styrr\u00e4ntan d\u00e5 skulle landa p\u00e5 4%. B\u00e5da centralbankerna \u00e4r tydliga med att de \u00e4r datadrivna och mycket kan h\u00e4nda under \u00e5rets g\u00e5ng g\u00e4llande inflation och andra delar av den finansiella marknaden. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rapports\u00e4songen forts\u00e4tter <\/h2>\n\n\n
\n
\"\"
bilden \u00e4r klickbar<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Rapports\u00e4songen forts\u00e4tter fart, dock med n\u00e5got l\u00e4gre fart under inledningen av augusti m\u00e5nad. Totalt under hela augusti f\u00e5r vi rapporter fr\u00e5n hela 671 bolag. Vecka 34 \u00e4r klart mest hektisk med 304 rapporter och flest rapporter v\u00e4ntas den 24 augusti med 106 stycken. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Av de hittills rapporterande bolagen har marknaden i snitt bel\u00f6nat bolag som slagit estimaten f\u00f6r vinst per aktie med en uppg\u00e5ng om 0.8% p\u00e5 tv\u00e5 handelsdagar fr\u00e5n rapport, bolagen som missat f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna har backat i snitt med 4.7% under samma period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bland de h\u00e5rdaste reaktionerna hittar vi AddLife som backade med 30,5%, Nobia som backade med 23% och Fagerhult som backade med 21.8%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Viktiga makroh\u00e4ndelser augusti<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 makrofronten \u00e4r det s\u00e5klart \u00e5ter fokus p\u00e5 inflationssiffrorna som kommer. Vi f\u00e5r slutgiltiga inflationssiffror f\u00f6r juli m\u00e5nad fr\u00e5n Tyskland den 8 augusti, fr\u00e5n USA den 10 augusti och fr\u00e5n EMU den 18 augusti, prelimin\u00e4ra siffror brukar komma i m\u00e5nadsslutet m\u00e5naden innan. Vi f\u00e5r svenska inflationssiffror f\u00f6r juli m\u00e5nad den 17 augusti. I slutet p\u00e5 m\u00e5naden den 30 augusti och 31 augusti f\u00e5r vi prelimin\u00e4ra inflationssiffror f\u00f6r augusti m\u00e5nad fr\u00e5n EMU, Tyskland och USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00e4r<\/strong><\/td>Vad<\/strong><\/td>Period<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
1 augusti<\/td>EMU: PMI Tillverkning<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Tyskland: PMI Tillverkning<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: PMI Tillverkning<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
3 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: PMI Tj\u00e4nster<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: PMI Tj\u00e4nster<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: PMI Tj\u00e4nster<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Fabriksorder<\/td>Juni<\/td><\/tr>
4 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: Industiorder<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Non-Farm Payrolls<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
7 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: Industriproduktion<\/td>Juni<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: Sentix Index<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
8 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
10 augusti<\/td>Sverige: Privat- och industriproduktionsstatistik<\/td>Juni<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Norge: Inflationssiffror<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Danmark: Inflationssiffror<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
11 augusti<\/td>USA: PPI<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
14 augusti<\/td>Sverige: Husprisindex<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
15 augusti<\/td>Sverige: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Tyskland: ZEW-sentimentsindikator<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Importpriser<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Statistik f\u00f6r detaljhandeln<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
16 augusti<\/td>EMU: BNP<\/strong><\/td>Q2<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: Industriproduktion<\/td>Juni<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Industriproduktion<\/td>Juni<\/td><\/tr>
17 augusti<\/td>Norge: R\u00e4ntebesked<\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Philly FED business index<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
18 augusti<\/td>EMU: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
22 augusti<\/td>Norge: BNP<\/td>Q2<\/td><\/tr>
23 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: <\/strong>PMI<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: PMI<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: PMI<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: Konfidensindikator konsument<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
24 augusti<\/td>USA: H\u00e5llbara varor<\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
25 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: BNP<\/strong><\/td>Q2<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Tyskland: IFO-statistik<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Michigan sentimentsindikator<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
28 augusti<\/td>Sverige: Detaljhandelsstatistik<\/strong><\/td>Juli<\/td><\/tr>
29 augusti<\/td>Tyskland: Konsumentsentiment<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Konsumentsentiment<\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
30 augusti<\/td>Sverige: Konjunkturrapport<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>EMU: Konjunkturrapport<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Tyskland: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Inflationssiffror<\/td>Q2<\/td><\/tr>
31 augusti<\/td>EMU: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>USA: Inflationssiffror<\/strong><\/td>Augusti<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tack f\u00f6r att du har l\u00e4st, hoppas att du har eller har haft en fantastisk semester!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Som alltid finns jag tillg\u00e4nglig p\u00e5 b\u00e5de Twitter<\/a> och Instagram<\/a> f\u00f6r fr\u00e5gor eller funderingar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\/\/Axel<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Semesterveckorna b\u00f6rjar lida mot sitt slut f\u00f6r m\u00e5nga. Oavsett om du har b\u00f6rjat jobba, eller fortfarande \u00e4r ledig, hoppas jag att sommaren varit h\u00e4rlig. Men vad har egentligen h\u00e4nt p\u00e5 de finansiella marknaderna under den h\u00e4r perioden? Och vad har vi att se fram emot? Stockholmsb\u00f6rsen Sedan 16 juni har b\u00f6rsen handlats ganska s\u00e5 sidledes. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40154,"featured_media":75049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4048],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nyheter-handelser"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/1200x430_axel_blogg_1-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/1200x430_axel_blogg_1-150x54.png 150w, 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