{"id":41509,"date":"2020-02-19T11:40:14","date_gmt":"2020-02-19T10:40:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/?p=41509"},"modified":"2026-03-10T16:59:46","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T15:59:46","slug":"sa-paverkas-din-ekonomi-av-lag-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.se\/blogg\/sa-paverkas-din-ekonomi-av-lag-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u00e5 p\u00e5verkas din ekonomi av l\u00e5g inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Inflationstrycket \u00e4r l\u00e5gt i Sverige. Priserna stiger inte som Riksbanken vill. Vad f\u00e5r det f\u00f6r konsekvenser f\u00f6r v\u00e5r privatekonomi?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r det \u00f6verhuvudtaget viktigt att vi har en inflation, kan man undra? En h\u00f6gre genomsnittlig inflation medf\u00f6r att den nominella r\u00e4ntan blir h\u00f6gre i ett normall\u00e4ge, och det ger i sin tur utrymme f\u00f6r kraftfullare r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar om inflationen blir f\u00f6r l\u00e5g. Det \u00e4r ett sk\u00e4l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ett annat sk\u00e4l att str\u00e4va efter att inflationen inte hamnar p\u00e5 noll, utan \u00f6ver, har med l\u00f6nebildning att g\u00f6ra. Om inflationen \u00e4r l\u00e5g och nominella l\u00f6ner inte kan s\u00e4nkas s\u00e5 blir det sv\u00e5rare att anpassa reall\u00f6ner mellan exempelvis individer i ett f\u00f6retag eller mellan f\u00f6retag i samma bransch. Och det kan i v\u00e4rsta fall i f\u00f6rl\u00e4ngningen bidra till b\u00e5de h\u00f6gre arbetsl\u00f6shet och s\u00e4mre produktivitetssutveckling i ekonomin i stort. Det p\u00e5verkas f\u00f6rst\u00e5s enskildas ekonomi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00e4rmed inte sagt att det \u00e4r skrivet i sten att det b\u00e4sta \u00e4r\nom inflationen ligger p\u00e5 tv\u00e5 procent. Men nu \u00e4r det m\u00e5let man satt f\u00f6r att\nuppr\u00e4tth\u00e5lla prisstabiliteten. Och i nul\u00e4get ligger inflationen l\u00e5ngt ifr\u00e5n 2\nprocent om man r\u00e4knar bort energipriser \u2013 d\u00e5 ligger den p\u00e5 1,2 procent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hur p\u00e5verkar det d\u00e5 din privatekonomi h\u00e4r och nu?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det uppenbara \u00e4r f\u00f6rst\u00e5s att konsumentpriserna inte stiger i\nh\u00f6g takt. Men det g\u00f6r ju d\u00e5 \u00e5 andra sidan inte l\u00f6nerna heller. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men inflationstrycket inneb\u00e4r att Riksbanken l\u00e4r h\u00e5lla r\u00e4ntan kvar p\u00e5 dagens niv\u00e5er. Det \u00e4r till och med s\u00e5 att sannolikheten f\u00f6r n\u00e5gon typ av stimulans \u00f6kar med ett inflationstryck som \u00e4r under direktionens egen prognos. Tr\u00f6skeln f\u00f6r en s\u00e4nkning \u00e4r h\u00f6g \u2013 direktionen har best\u00e4mt sig f\u00f6r att inte ha minusr\u00e4nta mer \u2013 men risken f\u00f6r att man tvingas s\u00e4nka igen finns. Ett annat s\u00e4tt att stimulera \u00e4r f\u00f6rst\u00e5s att k\u00f6pa \u00e4nnu mer statsobligationer, men d\u00e4r \u00e4r problemet att Riksbanken redan har dammsugit marknaden p\u00e5 statsobligationer. Hur som helst l\u00e4r din bol\u00e5ner\u00e4nta inte stiga p\u00e5 v\u00e4ldigt l\u00e4nge. Det kan du k\u00e4nna dig trygg med. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bol\u00e5net amorteras inte av<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

H\u00f6g inflation amorterar effektivt av ditt bol\u00e5n. Ju h\u00f6gre inflation, desto mindre blir helt enkelt l\u00e5net v\u00e4rt. Men idag, med dagens l\u00e5ga inflation, f\u00e5r bol\u00e5netagaren ingen s\u00e5dan draghj\u00e4lp. Ist\u00e4llet vill det till att du sj\u00e4lv s\u00e4tter en bra amorteringstakt f\u00f6r att ha en rimlig bel\u00e5ningsgrad den dag r\u00e4ntorna faktiskt stiger. Omfattas du av amorteringskravet \u00e4r amorteringstakten ju reglerad \u00e5t dig. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e5ga r\u00e4ntor eldar p\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ngar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Att Riksbanken beh\u00f6ver h\u00e5lla r\u00e4ntan l\u00e5g f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rs\u00f6ka f\u00e5\nupp inflationen g\u00f6r att marknadsr\u00e4ntorna f\u00f6rblir l\u00e5ga. Och det i sin tur l\u00e4r\nforts\u00e4tta att elda p\u00e5 priser p\u00e5 tillg\u00e5ngar. L\u00e5ga r\u00e4ntor \u00e4r ju sj\u00e4lva garanten\nf\u00f6r att b\u00f6rsen ska forts\u00e4tta ta coronavirus och geopolitiska konflikter med en\naxelryckning. Bostadspriserna har inte bara h\u00e4mtat sig fr\u00e5n oron h\u00f6sten 2017,\nutan ocks\u00e5 b\u00f6rjat stiga igen efter en period av stiltje. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det h\u00e4r betyder att du som sparar i aktier och fonder och \u00e4ger din bostad l\u00e4r forts\u00e4tta se hur dina tillg\u00e5ngar \u00f6kar i v\u00e4rde. Och tillg\u00e5ngar som du har p\u00e5 sparkontot forts\u00e4tter visserligen att urholkas i v\u00e4rde p\u00e5 grund av inflationen, men f\u00f6rst\u00e5s med mindre \u00e4n om vi haft ett verkligt inflationstryck. Jag tycker \u00e4nd\u00e5 det \u00e4r viktigt att aldrig ha mer p\u00e5 sparkontot \u00e4n vad bufferten kr\u00e4ver \u2013 resten b\u00f6r placeras d\u00e4r pengarna kan v\u00e4xa. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kronan f\u00f6rsvagas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En annan konsekvens av l\u00e5g inflation \u00e4r svag krona. Vi s\u00e5g\ndirekt hur kronan f\u00f6rsvagades p\u00e5 dagens inflationssiffror. Det beror p\u00e5 att\nl\u00e4gre r\u00e4ntor, som en konsekvens av l\u00e4gre inflationsf\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar, f\u00e5r svenska\ntillg\u00e5ngar att framst\u00e5 som mindre attraktiva. Kapital fl\u00f6dar ut, efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5\nkronan minskar och d\u00e5 f\u00f6rsvagas v\u00e4xelkursen ytterligare. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men vad h\u00e4nder d\u00e5? Jo, det blir dyrare f\u00f6r oss svenskar att\nimportera (och dyrare f\u00f6r oss utomlands). Och det bidrar ju till h\u00f6gre priser,\nvilket ju \u00e4r precis vad Riksbanken vill. En svag krona hj\u00e4lper till att dra upp\ninflationen. \n\nS\u00e5 har det i alla fall varit, eller \u00e4r, i teorin. I\nverkligheten k\u00e4mpar Riksbanken med att h\u00e5lla uppe inflation trots att kronan ju\nvarit p\u00e5 rekordl\u00e5ga niv\u00e5er \n\n\n\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflationstrycket \u00e4r l\u00e5gt i Sverige. Priserna stiger inte som Riksbanken vill. Vad f\u00e5r det f\u00f6r konsekvenser f\u00f6r v\u00e5r privatekonomi? Varf\u00f6r \u00e4r det \u00f6verhuvudtaget viktigt att vi har en inflation, kan man undra? En h\u00f6gre genomsnittlig inflation medf\u00f6r att den nominella r\u00e4ntan blir h\u00f6gre i ett normall\u00e4ge, och det ger i sin tur utrymme f\u00f6r kraftfullare […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40184,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4053],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41509","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-privatekonomi"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Frida2-150x58.jpg","width":150,"height":58,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Frida2-150x58.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/Frida2-620x240.jpg 620w, 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